Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 10

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Park Hall (Oswestry)

Referee: Kenny R. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
Wales	Cymru Football TV


	The New Saints		Llandudno

	1	X	2
	1.13	8.25	11.50
	1.05	9.3	24
	1.07	12.86	29.18
	1.07	11.33	26.35	Watch
	1.04	12	28
	1.06	12	26
	1.05	9.4	23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↓ (1.2)	10.73 ↑ (6)	24 ↑ (10.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The New Saints
87.4%

Draw
8.7%

Llandudno
3.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.8%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in The New Saints's performance.

Llandudno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Llandudno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

The New Saints - Llandudno Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. TNS (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - TNS (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -2 - TNS (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. TNS (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shepperd N. (G) 6. Bodenham J. 4. Corness D. 22. Davies D. 20. Hughes R. 34. Lock J. 10. Redmond D. (C) 16. Simeu D. 14. Williams D. 17. Williams J. 9. Young B.	13. Pearson S. (G) 4. Cartwright I. 26. Harris J. J. 29. Higgins L. 28. Hughes L. 7. Lloyd K. 16. Maher B. 20. Pownall J. 18. Smith K. 6. Weaver R. 22. Williams M.
Substitutes
42. Clarke-Phillips R. 18. Holden R. 37. Jefferies I. 44. Jenkins G. (G) 23. Nolan Z. 21. Smith L. 11. Wilson A.	17. Faux J. 51. Fisher J. (G) 15. Grogan N. 32. Monks T. 23. Roberts C. 27. Ruberto C. 2. Stephens C.
Coaches
Harrison C.	Hadaway J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Pownall J. 🟨,
32', Young B. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Maher B. ⚽,
45+1', Corness D. 🟨,
45+4', Weaver R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cartwright I. ↓, Grogan N. ↑,
52', Grogan N. 🟨,
71', Williams J. ↓, Jefferies I. ↑,
71', Corness D. ↓, Nolan Z. ↑,
76', Shepperd N. 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Hughes R. ⚽,
79', Young B. ↓, Holden R. ↑,
79', Lock J. ↓, Wilson A. ↑,
83', Grogan N. ↓, Faux J. ↑,
83', Higgins L. ↓, Ruberto C. ↑,
84', Lloyd K. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 1, Holden R. ⚽,
90+7', Hughes L. ↓, Roberts C. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 6th in the Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TNS won 5.

TNS arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by Llandudno have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

TNS may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

TNS holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, TNS has recorded 12 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 49:8 (averaging 3.8:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for TNS against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 17:3 goals (averaging 2.8:0.5 per game).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

TNS: 75.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	TNS	12	11	1	0	38:5	33	34
10	Llandudno	12	5	1	6	21:19	2	16

Last Results with these Odds

The New Saints - the odds 1.2 are the expected chance of winning is 75.83%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The New Saints
Welsh Cymru Premier
15.09.26	The New Saints - Flint Town United	5:0 ✺
11.09.26	Airbus UK Broughton - The New Saints	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	The New Saints - Barry Town United	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Caernarfon Town - The New Saints	2:3 ✺
28.08.26	The New Saints - Colwyn Bay	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWW
- Llandudno FC
Welsh Cymru Premier
15.09.26	Llandudno - Caernarfon Town	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Barry Town United - Llandudno	4:1 ✺
04.09.26	Llandudno - Ammanford	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Colwyn Bay - Llandudno	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Llandudno - Haverfordwest County	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
06.12.25	The New Saints - Llandudno	2:1
Welsh FA Cup
02.03.19	Llandudno - The New Saints	1:8
Welsh Cymru Premier
22.12.18	Llandudno - The New Saints	0:4
Welsh League Cup
30.10.18	Llandudno - The New Saints	0:5
Welsh Cymru Premier
17.10.18	The New Saints - Llandudno	6:1
17.11.17	Llandudno - The New Saints	0:1
22.09.17	The New Saints - Llandudno	1:0

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