The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mushuc Runa 46.6%
Draw 28%
Barcelona Guayaquil 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.7%
29%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
28.9%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mushuc Runa's performance.
Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona Guayaquil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mushuc Runa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona Guayaquil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mushuc Runa - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Formento R. (C) 99. Angulo C. 4. Biojo R. 50. Cusme J. 33. Hernandez J. 7. Minda T. 5. Davila E. 8. Zambrano A. 28. Perea M. 30. Ibarra R. 14. Caicedo E.
1. Contreras J. (G) 18. Carabali B. 33. Baez J. (C) 4. Vallecilla G. 15. Perlaza J. 32. Lugo M. 16. Cano L. 23. Martinez T. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 51. Wila J. 11. Rodriguez T.
Substitutes
11. Bazan N. 53. Braye J. 61. Caicedo J. 12. Carabali F. 19. Corozo B. 2. Flor F. 18. Gonzalez J. 23. Lemos L. 52. Merino D. 10. Mina F. 42. Pabon W. (G) 9. Tufino R.
13. Angulo J. L. (G) 26. Castillo B. 8. Diaz S. 50. Garcia J. 17. Gaspar D. 35. Intriago J. 70. Mejia M. 7. Mendoza E. 25. Perlaza R. 14. Rangel A. 27. Vargas W. 21. Villalba H.
Coaches
Velez P.
Trobbiani P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Caicedo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Caicedo E. ↓, Bazan N. ↑,
63', Martinez T. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
63', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
63', Wila J. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
63', Perea M. ↓, Tufino R. ↑,
63', Cusme J. ↓, Carabali F. ↑,
66', Biojo R. 🟨,
70', Tufino R. 🟥,
84', Zambrano A. ↓, Mina F. ↑,
84', Ibarra R. ↓, Corozo B. ↑,
84', Rodriguez T. ↓, Mendoza E. ↑,
90', Perlaza J. ↓, Villalba H. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 1.
Mushuc Runa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Barcelona is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Barcelona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Mushuc Runa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 22:46. (average 1.1:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.8:2.2).
Chile
Ecuador
Peru
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Formento R. (C) 
Angulo C. 
Contreras J. (G) 
Baez J. (C) 
Lugo M. 
Rodriguez T. 
Trobbiani P. 
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