Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 25 May 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Hernando Siles (La Paz)

Referee: Gonzalez F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Netherlands	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV


	The Strongest		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	4	Watch
	1.98	3.3	3.7
	1.89	3.6	4
	2.01	3.52	3.94
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	1.94	3.62	3.76	Watch
	2	3.35	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.62)	3.43 ↑ (3.27)	3.79 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The Strongest
48.1%

Draw
27.3%

Fluminense
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

28.5%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

28.5%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The Strongest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in The Strongest's performance.

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with The Strongest that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	0%	21.7%

The Strongest - Fluminense Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. The Strongest will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Fluminense will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for The Strongest: 61.5% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Viscarra G. (G) 7. Torres S. 22. Castillo G. 5. Jusino A. 19. Roca C. 6. Quiroga A. 8. Ursino L. 23. Chura J. 26. Sotomayor G. 10. Ortega M. 11. Triverio E.	1. Fabio (C) 23. Guga 44. David Braz 26. Manoel 53. Mendes da Silva J. H. 20. Gabriel Pirani 29. Thiago Santos 8. Martinelli L. M. 32. de Lima I. R. 9. John Kennedy 99. Lele
Substitutes
9. Arias J. 30. Arrascaita J. 1. Banegas L. (G) 2. Carrasco J. 20. Garcia Sossa J. E. 21. Isnaldo E. 4. Lino D. 3. Pedraza P. 18. Quaglio F. 24. Robles C. 15. Sebastian C. 25. Somoya M.	18. Alan 19. Alexandre Jesus 7. Andre 28. Arthur Wenderroscky 37. Giovanni 46. Jefte 21. Jhon Arias 41. Kayky Almeida 33. Nino 39. Nogueira K. E. 22. Pedro Rangel (G) 2. Samuel Xavier
Coaches
Biaggio C.	Diniz F.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

The Strongest could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The Strongest will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches The Strongest won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The Strongest
Bolivian Division Profesional
20.05.23	The Strongest - Vaca Díez	4:1 ✺
14.05.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - The Strongest	1:0 ✺
10.05.23	The Strongest - Guabirá	1:0 ✺
07.05.23	The Strongest - Aurora	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.05.23	Sporting Cristal - The Strongest	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWTL
- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
20.05.23	Botafogo RJ - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
16.05.23	Fluminense - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
13.05.23	Fluminense - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
10.05.23	Cruzeiro - Fluminense	0:2 ✺
06.05.23	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
18.04.23	Fluminense - The Strongest	1:0

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