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Current Win Probability
The Town 49%
Draw 24.7%
Real Monarchs 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.3%
24.8%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.7%
23.6%
24.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
The Town - Real Monarchs Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
The Town will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): The Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Montali F. (G) 72. Ibarra R. 27. Eisner W. 66. Cano A. 74. Mbumba A. 15. Medina C. 20. Fernandez N. 38. Mendoza E. 29. Spivey K. 30. Tsakiris N. 55. Adimabua N.
95. Mackay W. (G) 3. Henry K. 32. Farnsworth Z. 77. Mesalles R. 33. Silva T. 81. Dillon G. 34. Moisa L. 41. Villa G. 39. Hezarkhani A. 36. Barea J. 20. Zambrano M.
Substitutes
88. Baptista D. 44. Cowell C. 52. Donnery J. 50. Rajagopal R. 80. Rodriguez M. 97. Ulrich L. (G) 99. Walwyn-Bent K.
99. Alphin R. (G) 61. Amparo I. 30. Anderson O. 25. Bell M. 52. Jennings M. 76. O'Gara L. 87. Sandoval Molina B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Tsakiris N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Spivey K. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
70', Adimabua N. ↓, Donnery J. ↑,
71', Tsakiris N. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
74', Hezarkhani A. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
83', Zambrano M. ↓, Bell M. ↑,
90', Villa G. ↓, Jennings M. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 2)
1, Donnery J. (Pen),
1, Dillon G. (Pen),
2, Mendoza E. (Pen),
2, Anderson O. (Pen),
3, Medina C. (Pen),
3, Silva T. (Pen),
4, Mbumba A. (Pen),
4, Mesalles R. (Pen),
5, Ibarra R. (Pen),
5, Barea J. (Pen),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
The Town has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Real Monarchs's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The Town might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, The Town won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, The Town won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
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Montali F. (G) 
Cano A. 
Mbumba A. 
Adimabua N. 
Barea J. 
Donnery J. 
Walwyn-Bent K. 
Bell M. 
Sandoval Molina B. 
