Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 17

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: JIT Recycle Ink Stadium (Kofu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Ventforet Kofu		Gifu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.05	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.24	3.13
	2.12	3.41	3.28	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.19	3.13	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.2)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	3.14 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ventforet Kofu
42.3%

Draw
28.7%

Gifu
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.2%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27.2%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Gifu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gifu than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Ventforet Kofu - Gifu Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kofu will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Gifu will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kofu: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gifu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Gifu (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Gifu (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gifu (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawata K. (G) 20. Endo H. 2. Inoue M. 3. Nozawa R. 27. Takei S. 24. Sato K. 26. Sato K. 8. Yasuda K. 7. Araki S. 14. Fujii K. 32. Ota R.	51. Suganuma K. (G) 85. Hakozaki T. 34. Yumine K. 27. Haneda K. 7. Mun In-Ju 6. Fukuta A. 9. Nakamura S. 21. Yokoyama T. 26. Ogushi S. 8. Araki D. 17. Kawamoto R.
Substitutes
16. Hayashida K. 97. Higashi J. (G) 25. Hiratsuka Y. 6. Kobayashi I. 96. Kurokawa A. 19. Mizuno H. 10. Naito Y. 29. Oshima K. 4. Yamamoto H.	99. Fabio Azevedo 3. Hagino K. 4. Kai K. 10. Kita R. 19. Matsumoto A. 14. Oiji Y. 31. Serantes J. (G) 18. Wade M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Hakozaki T. (Own goal),
37', 1 - 1, Fukuta A. ⚽, Mun In-Ju (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nakamura S. ↓, Kita R. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Endo H. ⚽, Yasuda K. (A),
62', Araki S. ↓, Kobayashi I. ↑,
62', Yokoyama T. ↓, Oiji Y. ↑,
62', Ogushi S. ↓, Fabio Azevedo ↑,
72', Sato K. ↓, Hiratsuka Y. ↑,
72', Ota R. ↓, Naito Y. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Haneda K. ⚽, Kita R. (A),
80', Yumine K. ↓, Kai K. ↑,
85', Fujii K. ↓, Oshima K. ↑,
85', Nozawa R. ↓, Mizuno H. ↑,
90', Mun In-Ju 🟨,
90+2', Kawamoto R. ↓, Wade M. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Kofu is Qualified for J2/J3 League (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kofu won 4.

Kofu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gifu has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Kofu has had a series of away games.

Kofu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kofu won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kofu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Ventforet Kofu - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.36%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Gifu - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 29.4%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 J3 League
09.05.26	Iwaki - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
06.05.26	Ventforet Kofu - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Matsumoto Yamaga - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
29.04.26	Omiya Ardija - Ventforet Kofu	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Fukushima United - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WLWWW
- FC Gifu
Japan J2 J3 League
09.05.26	Nagano Parceiro - Gifu	2:3 ✺
06.05.26	Gifu - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:3 ✺
02.05.26	Gifu - Consadole Sapporo	0:3 ✺
29.04.26	Iwaki - Gifu	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Júbilo Iwata - Gifu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
08.03.26	Gifu - Ventforet Kofu	0:1
Japan J2 League
16.11.19	Gifu - Ventforet Kofu	1:3
Japan Emperors Cup
03.07.19	Ventforet Kofu - Gifu	3:2 penalties
Japan J2 League
03.04.19	Ventforet Kofu - Gifu	2:0
15.07.18	Ventforet Kofu - Gifu	1:3
01.04.18	Gifu - Ventforet Kofu	3:4

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