Match Info

J3 League - Round 15

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Axis Bird Stadium (Tottori)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Gainare Tottori		Nagano Parceiro

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.2
	2.28	3.2	2.78	Watch
	2.36	3.46	2.82
	2.42	3.36	2.82	Watch
	2	3	3.5
	2.31	3.2	2.83	Watch
	2.28	3.2	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.32)	3.23 ↑ (2.9)	2.96 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainare Tottori
40.9%

Draw
28.3%

Nagano Parceiro
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

31.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

31.9%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainare Tottori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Nagano Parceiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainare Tottori than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Gainare Tottori - Nagano Parceiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gainare Tottori will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Koma R. (G) 55. Oshima H. 4. Nikaido S. 6. Nukui H. 16. Maruyama S. 11. Tojo A. 34. Soga D. 21. Kawamura T. 19. Miki N. 7. Ozawa H. 10. Togashi Y.	21. Matsubara S. (G) 7. Ono Y. 3. Tomita K. 24. Sunamori K. 8. Kondo T. 5. Hasegawa Y. 46. Koga S. 9. Fujimori R. 77. Thales 28. Fujikawa K. 11. Shin K.
Substitutes
66. Dohi K. 18. Handa K. 32. Ikawa T. 42. Kaneura M. 3. Nagano S. 39. Sakuraba R. (G) 9. Tanada R. 8. Tanaka K. 22. Yoshida I.	15. Higuchi K. 16. Ishii K. 13. Konishi H. 1. Tajiri K. (G) 25. Tanaka K. 18. Ukita K. 10. Yamanaka R. 22. Yoshida K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Togashi Y. ⚽, Kawamura T. (A),
20', Shin K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Togashi Y. 🟨,
59', Hasegawa Y. ↓, Yoshida K. ↑,
59', Fujikawa K. ↓, Ukita K. ↑,
59', Thales ↓, Konishi H. ↑,
62', Togashi Y. ↓, Tanada R. ↑,
69', Fujimori R. ↓, Yamanaka R. ↑,
73', Soga D. 🟨,
76', Soga D. ↓, Nagano S. ↑,
76', Ozawa H. ↓, Dohi K. ↑,
83', Koga S. ↓, Higuchi K. ↑,
86', Miki N. ↓, Ikawa T. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 0, Kawamura T. ⚽, Tanada R. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone J3 League (Relegation) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gainare Tottori won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gainare Tottori won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Gainare Tottori won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1.2:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainare Tottori
Japan J3 League
31.05.25	Gainare Tottori - Tochigi City	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
24.05.25	Veroskronos Tsuno - Gainare Tottori	2:1 ✺
Japan J3 League
18.05.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Gainare Tottori	1:0 ✺
06.05.25	Sagamihara - Gainare Tottori	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Gainare Tottori - Ryūkyū	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLLLW
- AC Nagano Parceiro
Japan J3 League
31.05.25	Nagano Parceiro - Nara Club	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Nagano Parceiro	0:0 ✺
14.05.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Nagano Parceiro	2:2 ✺
06.05.25	Tochigi - Nagano Parceiro	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Nagano Parceiro - Sagamihara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
21.09.24	Gainare Tottori - Nagano Parceiro	2:0
10.04.24	Nagano Parceiro - Gainare Tottori	0:2
11.11.23	Gainare Tottori - Nagano Parceiro	2:3
16.07.23	Nagano Parceiro - Gainare Tottori	2:2
06.11.22	Nagano Parceiro - Gainare Tottori	1:2
16.07.22	Gainare Tottori - Nagano Parceiro	0:1
31.10.21	Nagano Parceiro - Gainare Tottori	3:2

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