Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 25

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma (Maebashi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Thespakusatsu Gunma		Ventforet Kofu

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.9	Watch
	3.7	3.25	1.85
	3.75	3.4	1.95	Watch
	4.1	3.6	1.99
	4.03	3.46	1.89	Watch
	3.5	3.3	1.91
	3.86	3.45	1.89	Watch
	3.75	3.4	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.8)	3.42 ↓ (3.48)	1.92 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Thespakusatsu Gunma
24.3%

Draw
27.2%

Ventforet Kofu
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

26.7%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

24.6%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ventforet Kofu Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Kofu will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kofu: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kushibiki M. (G) 3. Ohata R. 2. Shirowa H. 36. Nakashio D. 5. Kawakami C. 44. Semba T. 37. Sehata G. 50. Kikuchi K. 10. Sato R. 14. Kawamoto R. 32. Kawata A.	88. Shibuya T. (G) 23. Sekiguchi M. 16. Hayashida K. 3. Son T. 13. Murakami Y. 21. Renato 14. Nakayama R. 7. Araki S. 10. Torikai Y. 51. Adailton 99. Utaka P.
Substitutes
23. Hiramatsu S. 42. Ishii R. (G) 28. Kabayama R. 15. Kazama K. 40. Sagawa K. 11. Sugimoto R. 29. Tagashira R.	41. Inoue M. 34. Kimura T. 6. Kobayashi I. 11. Macula 44. Naito Y. 8. Taketomi K. 33. Yamauchi K. (G)
Coaches
Muto A.	Otsuka S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Sekiguchi M. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
59', Adailton ↓, Taketomi K. ↑,
60', Kawamoto R. ↓, Kabayama R. ↑,
72', Semba T. ↓, Kazama K. ↑,
72', Utaka P. ↓, Macula ↑,
72', Kawata A. ↓, Sagawa K. ↑,
78', Torikai Y. ↓, Naito Y. ↑,
79', Murakami Y. ↓, Inoue M. ↑,
80', Sato R. ↓, Sugimoto R. ↑,
81', Ohata R. ↓, Tagashira R. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Naito Y. ⚽, Araki S. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 2.

Thespakusatsu is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kofu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Kofu is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Thespakusatsu won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J2 League
13.07.24	Kagoshima United - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1 ✺
07.07.24	Ehime - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:4 ✺
29.06.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Fujieda MYFC	1:2 ✺
22.06.24	Fagiano Okayama - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:0 ✺
16.06.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWLLL
- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 League
14.07.24	Ventforet Kofu - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
10.07.24	Cerezo Osaka - Ventforet Kofu	1:2 ET ✺
Japan J2 League
06.07.24	Ventforet Kofu - Tokushima Vortis	1:3 ✺
29.06.24	Oita Trinita - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
22.06.24	Ventforet Kofu - Ehime	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
20.04.24	Ventforet Kofu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:1
16.07.23	Ventforet Kofu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:3
29.04.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ventforet Kofu	2:1
30.07.22	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ventforet Kofu	1:1
04.05.22	Ventforet Kofu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:0
12.09.21	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ventforet Kofu	0:3
27.06.21	Ventforet Kofu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	6:2

Upcoming Matches