The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cerezo Osaka 52.8%
Draw 24.5%
Ventforet Kofu 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.3%
21.3%
14.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68%
20.1%
13.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerezo Osaka's form might have worsened.
Ventforet Kofu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ventforet Kofu's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ventforet Kofu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.5%
15.4%
23.1%
Cerezo Osaka - Ventforet Kofu Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Kofu will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cerezo Osaka: 35% โ 88%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yang Han-Been (G) 11. Croux J. 14. Funaki K. 4. Hirano Y. 8. Kagawa S. 33. Nishio R. (C) 16. Okuda H. 48. Shibayama M. 19. Tameda H. 24. Toriumi K. 35. Watanabe R.
32. Koh Bong-jo (G) 16. Hayashida K. 15. Iijima R. 34. Kimura T. 6. Kobayashi I. 13. Murakami Y. 26. Sato K. 23. Sekiguchi M. (C) 3. Son T. 8. Taketomi K. 99. Utaka P.
Substitutes
27. Capixaba 77. Fernandes L. 9. Leo Ceara 31. Shimizu K. (G) 10. Tanaka S. 7. Uejo S. 23. Yamashita T.
11. Gonzalez F. 40. Mancha E. 18. Misawa N. 28. Mizuno H. 44. Naito Y. 10. Torikai Y. 33. Yamauchi K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Utaka P. ⚽,
54', 1 - 1, Watanabe R. ⚽,
61', Watanabe R. ↓, Leo Ceara ↑,
61', Tameda H. ↓, Capixaba ↑,
61', Croux J. ↓, Fernandes L. ↑,
76', Kagawa S. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
81', Shibayama M. ↓, Uejo S. ↑,
83', 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
97', 🟨,
99', 🟨,
110', Okuda H. ↓, Yamashita T. ↑,
112', 1 - 2, Torikai Y. ⚽,
116', 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 1.
Cerezo Osaka is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Kofu is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Kofu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Cerezo Osaka is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Cerezo Osaka to win the game is with odds 1.75.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Cerezo Osaka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.