Match Info

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Thionville Lusitanos		Versailles

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.40	1.92
	3.64	3.56	1.95
	2.9	3.48	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.64)	3.48 ↑ (3.31)	2.01 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thionville Lusitanos
27.6%

Draw
26.5%

Versailles
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

27.6%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

27.2%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thionville Lusitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thionville Lusitanos's form might have worsened.

Versailles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Versailles's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thionville Lusitanos than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thionville Lusitanos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Versailles than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Versailles, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Thionville Lusitanos - Versailles Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 9th and 4th in the Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion: )).

Thionville Lusitanos is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Versailles shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of French Ligue 3 for now

Versailles: 6.05% Thionville: 5.96%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Versailles	9	5	1	3	13:12	1	16
9	Thionville	9	3	3	3	14:14	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Thionville Lusitanos
French Ligue 3
03.10.26	Le Puy - Thionville Lusitanos	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Thionville Lusitanos - La Roche VF	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Fleury 91 - Thionville Lusitanos	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Thionville Lusitanos - Rouen FC	0:4 ✺
05.09.26	Concarneau - Thionville Lusitanos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTLT
- FC Versailles 78
French Ligue 3
03.10.26	Versailles - Valenciennes	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Villefranche - Versailles	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Versailles - Quevilly	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Orleans - Versailles	0:4 ✺
05.09.26	Versailles - Cannes	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTWL

Thionville Lusitanos - Versailles: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide