Match Info

Ligue 3 - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Charles Massot (Espaly-Saint Marcel)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Italy	Ligue 1+
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+


	Le Puy		Thionville Lusitanos

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.30	3.70
	1.82	3.4	3.85
	1.83	3.72	4.35
	1.85	3.54	3.72	Watch
	1.78	3.6	4.15
	1.85	3.93	3.95
	1.81	3.45	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.86)	3.56 ↑ (3.48)	3.94 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Puy
50.6%

Draw
25.9%

Thionville Lusitanos
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

26.3%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

25.5%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Puy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Thionville Lusitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Puy than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thionville Lusitanos than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Le Puy - Thionville Lusitanos Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Le Puy will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Thionville Lusitanos will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Puy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carvalho M. (G) 7. Kouassi E. 2. Vinicius Gomes 19. Ghalem T. 3. Seidou E. 13. Fatahine A. 18. Gauthier A. 10. Xhemo R. (C) 21. Baret L. 9. Faty M. 17. Nsingi P.	16. Parisot A. (G) 6. Aljic M. 5. Atangana J. 25. Lauratet J. (C) 8. Kilic S. 22. Moustaid J. 26. Montet E. 12. Gobitaka F. 9. Bouhmidi K. 7. Tubio K. 10. Labissiere B.
Substitutes
27. Ducourtioux I. 11. Emmanuel M. 12. Lebouath S. 8. Mroivili R. 33. Piot T. 40. Roperti A. (G) 6. Zahibo W.	34. Badji I. 1. Grasser T. 14. Kalambayi Mukuta S. 11. Laurens G. 33. Panunzi T. 19. Siat V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Atangana J. 🟨,
12', Moustaid J. ↓, Siat V. ↑,
32', Bouhmidi K. 🟨,
41', Carvalho M. 🟨,
41', Labissiere B. 🟨,
43', Bouhmidi K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Gobitaka F. 🟨,
64', Kouassi E. 🟨,
65', Gobitaka F. ↓, Kalambayi Mukuta S. ↑,
75', Kouassi E. ↓, Lebouath S. ↑,
76', Baret L. ↓, Mroivili R. ↑,
80', Labissiere B. ↓, Laurens G. ↑,
82', Faty M. ↓, Emmanuel M. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Nsingi P. ⚽,
90+1', Gauthier A. ↓, Zahibo W. ↑,
90+5', Emmanuel M. 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12th and 8th).

Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Le Puy holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of French Ligue 3 for now

Thionville: 5.96% Le Puy-en-Velay: 3.72%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Le Puy-en-Velay	9	4	1	4	11:9	2	13
9	Thionville	9	3	3	3	14:14	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne
French Ligue 3
26.09.26	Valenciennes - Le Puy	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Le Puy - Villefranche	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Quevilly - Le Puy	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Le Puy - Orleans	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Cannes - Le Puy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLTL
- US Thionville Lusitanos
French Ligue 3
26.09.26	Thionville Lusitanos - La Roche VF	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Fleury 91 - Thionville Lusitanos	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Thionville Lusitanos - Rouen FC	0:4 ✺
05.09.26	Concarneau - Thionville Lusitanos	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Thionville Lusitanos - Paris 13 Atletico	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLTT

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