Match Info

ICELAND: LENGJUDEILDIN - ROUND 5

Date: 2 June 2023, Friday


	Thor Akureyri		Ægir

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	4.5
	1.54	4.59	5.11
	1.52	4	5
	1.52	4.55	5.05
	1.53	4.4	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.91)	4.37 ↑ (3.88)	4.85 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thor Akureyri
60.2%

Draw
20.9%

Ægir
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

23.6%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

22.9%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thor Akureyri's performance.

Ægir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ægir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thor Akureyri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ægir than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ægir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Thor Akureyri - Ægir Predictions

Users Predictions: Thor Akureyri will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stefansson A. (G) 7. Brynjolfsson B. 17. Gislason F. 3. Hlynsson B. 5. Kalermo A. 14. Magnusson A. 20. Ottosson V. 10. Perrello I. 19. Ragnarsson R. 8. Stojanovic N. 9. Thorlaksson A. (C)	25. Yanachkov I. (G) 2. Berndsen B. 7. Braz I. 11. Dabetic S. (C) 14. Gudbjartsson A. 28. Joninuson B. 19. Kjartansson A. 8. Punyed R. 80. Reyes K. 9. Tokic H. 5. Viktorsson A.
Substitutes
12. Einarsson Omar E. O. (G) 18. Gunnarsson R. 22. Hjorvarsson N. 2. Jonsson E. 23. Kristjansson I. 15. Kristjansson K. 30. Vidarsson B.	45. Alomerovic B. 15. Bardarson J. 27. Eythorsson B. 30. Gunnarsson B. 1. Hannesson S. (G) 10. Rolin C. 3. Sigurdsson R.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Lengjudeildin (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

Recent matches Thor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ægir has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Thor is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Thor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Thor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Division 1
26.05.23	Fjölnir - Thor Akureyri	6:0 ✺
20.05.23	Thor Akureyri - Leiknir Reykjavík	1:0 ✺
Icelandic Cup
16.05.23	Thor Akureyri - Leiknir Reykjavík	3:1 ✺
Icelandic Division 1
12.05.23	Afturelding - Thor Akureyri	1:0 ✺
06.05.23	Thor Akureyri - Vestri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWLW
- KF Ægir
Icelandic Division 1
26.05.23	Ægir - Selfoss	1:3 ✺
21.05.23	Throttur Reykjavik - Ægir	3:1 ✺
11.05.23	Njarðvík - Ægir	2:2 ✺
05.05.23	Ægir - Fjölnir	0:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
20.04.23	Ægir - FH Hafnarfjordur	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Cup
16.05.17	Thor Akureyri - Ægir	0:1 penalties

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