Match Info

SWITZERLAND: Challenge League - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2025, Friday

Location: Stockhorn Arena (Thun)

Referee: Drmic M. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom


	Thun		Vaduz

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.2
	1.66	3.45	3.9
	1.72	3.95	4.68
	1.7	3.91	4.52	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.2
	1.71	3.81	4.52	Watch
	1.66	3.45	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.66)	3.68 ↓ (4.09)	4.27 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thun
53.9%

Draw
24.8%

Vaduz
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

22.8%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Vaduz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	35.7%	14.3%

Thun - Vaduz Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Thun will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Vaduz will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thun: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ziswiler N. (G) 47. Fehr F. 4. Montolio G. 23. Burki M. (C) 5. Franke D. 78. Matoshi V. 6. Bertone L. 77. Meichtry F. 11. Stewart L. 70. Reichmuth N. 74. Rastoder E.	25. Schaffran L. (G) 14. Beeli M. 35. Keckeisen N. 5. Berisha L. 28. Traber L. 26. Hammerich M. 10. Emini L. 18. Onyegbule A. 7. Schwizer D. (C) 9. Kaio Eduardo 23. Cavegn F.
Substitutes
17. Balaruban A. 7. Castroman M. 37. Dahler L. 29. Frith D. 33. Gutbub M. 8. Janjicic V. 25. Marcolli L. 46. Sessolo H. 24. Steffen N. (G)	1. Buchel B. (G) 29. De Donno J. 11. Del Toro D. 4. Hasler N. 19. Navarro J. 6. Simani D. 15. Weber S.
Coaches
Lustrinelli M.	Schneider M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Traber L. 🟨,
36', Montolio G. 🟨,
39', Meichtry F. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Reichmuth N. ⚽,
45', Kaio Eduardo 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 2 - 0, Reichmuth N. ⚽, Meichtry F. (A),
56', 2 - 1, Kaio Eduardo ⚽, Schwizer D. (A),
57', Kaio Eduardo ↓, Navarro J. ↑,
57', Emini L. ↓, Hasler N. ↑,
57', Beeli M. ↓, Del Toro D. ↑,
59', Stewart L. ↓, Frith D. ↑,
59', Meichtry F. ↓, Janjicic V. ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Rastoder E. ⚽, Fehr F. (A),
70', Matoshi V. ↓, Dahler L. ↑,
70', Reichmuth N. ↓, Castroman M. ↑,
75', Onyegbule A. ↓, De Donno J. ↑,
89', Fehr F. ↓, Sessolo H. ↑,
90+1', Schwizer D. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Thun won 3.

Thun is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vaduz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Thun is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Thun won 12 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 46:28 (average 2.3:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Thun won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 27:16 (average 2.7:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Thun
Club Friendly
18.01.25	Thun - Rapperswil-Jona	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Thun - Kriens	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Basel - Thun	2:0 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
13.12.24	Lausanne Ouchy - Thun	1:1 ✺
06.12.24	Thun - Wil 1900	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLTL
- FC Vaduz
Swiss Challenge League
14.12.24	Vaduz - Étoile Carouge	3:2 ✺
08.12.24	Bellinzona - Vaduz	1:2 ✺
03.12.24	Stade Nyonnais - Vaduz	1:1 ✺
29.11.24	Vaduz - Schaffhausen	2:2 ✺
08.11.24	Vaduz - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
19.10.24	Vaduz - Thun	2:0
28.07.24	Thun - Vaduz	2:0
17.05.24	Thun - Vaduz	6:3
01.04.24	Vaduz - Thun	1:0
29.10.23	Thun - Vaduz	2:1
01.10.23	Vaduz - Thun	1:1
07.05.23	Thun - Vaduz	3:3

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