Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 July 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio José Dellagiovanna (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Rojas A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV


	Tigre		Libertad Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.37	3.1	3
	2.38	3.15	3.05
	2.4	3.24	3.14
	2.38	2.9	3
	2.41	3.18	3.02	Watch
	2.38	3.15	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.32)	3.16 ↑ (3.14)	3.09 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigre
39.8%

Draw
29.7%

Libertad Asuncion
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

29.8%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

30.4%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	25%	33.3%

Tigre - Libertad Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Tigre will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Libertad will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tigre: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Marinelli G. (G) 36. Cabrera V. 2. Aguilera E. 6. Luciatti B. 24. Garay M. 10. Menossi L. (C) 15. Cardozo A. 20. Prieto S. 18. Armoa B. 32. Retegui M. 16. Castro A.	1. Silva M. (G) 33. Piris I. 5. Viera D. 3. Barboza A. 17. Espinoza M. 15. Villalba H. 21. Sanabria L. 6. Campuzano A. 10. Melgarejo L. 7. Cardozo O. 11. Mendieta W.
Substitutes
29. Badaloni T. 31. Caceres M. 22. Flores G. 26. Forclaz E. 30. Leizza B. 21. Medina S. 28. Molinas A. 13. Montoya L. 7. Obando A. 5. Prediger S. 33. Rojas S. (G) 27. Zabala C.	20. Bareiro A. 26. Caballero H. 14. Cardozo L. 28. Fernandez M. 4. Gimenez N. 30. Gonzalez D. 19. Lezcano R. 18. Mayada C. 12. Morinigo Acosta R. M. (G) 2. Ramirez I. 16. Riveros C. 24. Santa C. R.
Coaches
Sara J.	Garnero D.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Tigre is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Libertad is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tigre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Libertad have a series of home games.

Tigre will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tigre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Tigre won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.07.23	Tigre - Barracas Central	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.07.23	Libertad Asuncion - Tigre	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.07.23	Instituto Córdoba - Tigre	0:1 ✺
05.07.23	Tigre - Banfield	1:2 ✺
02.07.23	Defensa y Justicia - Tigre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWLL
- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.07.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	0:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.07.23	Libertad Asuncion - Tigre	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.07.23	Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.06.23	Libertad Asuncion - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
09.06.23	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
13.07.23	Libertad Asuncion - Tigre	2:1
Copa Libertadores
18.04.13	Libertad Asuncion - Tigre	3:5
21.02.13	Tigre - Libertad Asuncion	0:2

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