Match Info

Date: 17 January 2021, Sunday


	Tigre		San Martín de San Juan

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.4	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.25
	2.12	2.9	3.4	Watch
	2.18	2.9	3.4
	2.28	3	3.67
	2.2	2.88	3.5	Watch
	2.17	3.02	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.48)	2.94 ↑ (2.9)	3.44 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigre
42.2%

Draw
31.2%

San Martín de San Juan
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

31.4%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

23.2%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tigre's performance.

San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Martín de San Juan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tigre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Martín de San Juan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tigre - San Martín de San Juan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Tigre is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Martín is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tigre will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Tigre won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Tigre won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Tigre
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.01.21	Tigre - Deportivo Riestra	1:2 ✺
03.01.21	Sarmiento de Junín - Tigre	1:1 ✺
29.12.20	Tigre - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1 ✺
21.12.20	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Tigre	1:1 ✺
14.12.20	Tigre - Villa Dálmine	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLTW
- San Martín de San Juan
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.01.21	Guillermo Brown - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
03.01.21	San Martín de San Juan - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
27.12.20	Independiente Rivadavia - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
20.12.20	San Martín de San Juan - Mitre	1:1 ✺
12.12.20	Alvarado - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.08.18	Tigre - San Martín de San Juan	2:2
05.02.18	San Martín de San Juan - Tigre	0:0
20.05.17	Tigre - San Martín de San Juan	1:1
12.03.16	San Martín de San Juan - Tigre	1:0
05.04.15	San Martín de San Juan - Tigre	3:1
03.06.13	Tigre - San Martín de San Juan	1:3
18.11.12	San Martín de San Juan - Tigre	2:2

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