Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Universitario (San Nicolás de los Garza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	A Mas, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports
Usa	Estrella TV, NBC Universo, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW


	Tigres UANL		Querétaro

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	7.5
	1.46	4.45	6.4
	1.46	4.75	6.97
	1.45	4.86	6.45	Watch
	1.4	4	6
	1.47	4.38	7.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.35)	4.46 ↓ (4.97)	6.82 ↓ (7.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigres UANL
65.1%

Draw
21.1%

Querétaro
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

18.7%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

15.9%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigres UANL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Querétaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tigres UANL that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tigres UANL - Querétaro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigres (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Tigres (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tigres UANL will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigres (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Guzman N. (G) 14. Garza J. 33. Guerrero R. 27. Angulo J. 32. Lorona V. 5. Araujo C. 20. Flores M. 11. Brunetta J. (C) 77. Herrera O. 17. Aguirre R. 10. Gignac A.	25. Allison G. (C) 22. Duarte B. 9. Reyes D. 2. Abascia L. 27. Parra D. 7. Jhojan Julio 4. Garcia C. 6. Homenchenko S. 190. Cazares J. 31. Avila A. 37. Coronel M.
Substitutes
7. Correa A. 28. Joaquim 16. Lainez D. 19. Lopez I. 26. Ordonez Delgado F. I. 25. Rodriguez F. (G) 30. Sanchez Guevara D. A. 4. Sanchez J. 204. Simeone 6. Vigon J.	20. Alcala A. 55. Carcelen Carabali M. A. 12. Gomez J. 1. Hernandez J. (G) 8. Parra B. 21. Pena F. 26. Perez E. 23. Robles J. 10. Rodriguez L. 15. Villanueva C.
Coaches
Pizarro G.	Gonzalez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Angulo J. 🟨,
30', Parra D. 🟨,
43', Lorona V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Coronel M. 🟨,
52', Allison G. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
58', Herrera O. ↓, Lainez D. ↑,
58', Flores M. ↓, Sanchez Guevara D. A. ↑,
58', Gignac A. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
62', Jhojan Julio ↓, Robles J. ↑,
62', Cazares J. ↓, Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↑,
68', Guerrero R. ↓, Joaquim ↑,
74', Brunetta J. ↓, Vigon J. ↑,
77', Garcia C. ↓, Parra B. ↑,
77', Duarte B. ↓, Pena F. ↑,
87', Araujo C. 🟨,
88', Homenchenko S. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 3.

Tigres has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Querétaro is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tigres may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tigres is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Tigres: Farfan M. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Querétaro: Gruezo E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Tigres: Gorriaran F. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Querétaro: Carcelen Carabali M. A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 34:8. (average 1.7:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tigres won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:5. (average 2.4:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Queretaro	10	6	2	2	15:8	7	20
11	Tigres UANL	11	3	4	4	13:15	-2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tigres UANL
CONCACAF Champions Cup
12.03.26	Cincinnati - Tigres UANL	3:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
07.03.26	Tigres UANL - Monterrey	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Puebla - Tigres UANL	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Club América - Tigres UANL	1:4 ✺
20.02.26	Tigres UANL - Pachuca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWL
- Querétaro FC
Mexican Liga MX
07.03.26	Querétaro - Club América	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Monterrey - Querétaro	4:0 ✺
27.02.26	Querétaro - Santos Laguna	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Atlético San Luis - Querétaro	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Querétaro - Club León	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
28.09.25	Querétaro - Tigres UANL	0:2
07.03.25	Tigres UANL - Querétaro	1:0
17.09.24	Querétaro - Tigres UANL	1:0
28.01.24	Querétaro - Tigres UANL	1:1
02.09.23	Tigres UANL - Querétaro	5:0
16.04.23	Querétaro - Tigres UANL	0:0
30.07.22	Tigres UANL - Querétaro	2:1

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