Match Info

CONCACAF Champions Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, OH)

Referee: Madrigal S. (Cos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	OneSoccer
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 3
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
South-america	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	FOX One, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cincinnati		Tigres UANL

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.98	3.05	2.32
	3.04	3.13	2.49
	3.23	3.17	2.25	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.3
	3.09	3.27	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.69)	3.12 ↓ (3.16)	2.4 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cincinnati
31%

Draw
30%

Tigres UANL
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

29.4%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

28.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	88.9%	11.1%

Cincinnati - Tigres UANL Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tigres will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 68.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Cincinnati (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Celentano R. (G) 15. Hadebe T. 12. Robinson M. (C) 3. Flores G. 66. Echenique E. 20. Bucha P. 5. Nwobodo O. 11. Gidi S. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 16. Barlow T. 9. Denkey K.	1. Guzman N. (G) 14. Garza J. 23. Romulo 27. Angulo J. 32. Lorona V. 28. Joaquim 5. Araujo C. 7. Correa A. 11. Brunetta J. (C) 16. Lainez D. 17. Aguirre R.
Substitutes
27. Anunga T. 10. Evander 4. Hagglund N. 99. Jabbari A. 37. Jimenez S. 13. Louro E. (G) 17. Mboma K. 21. Miazga M. 93. Mrozek F. (G) 2. Powell A. 24. Smith K. 22. Valenzuela G.	13. Carrera A. (G) 20. Flores M. 10. Gignac A. 33. Guerrero R. 77. Herrera O. 19. Lopez I. 25. Rodriguez F. (G) 35. Rodriguez O. 30. Sanchez Guevara D. A. 4. Sanchez J. 22. Simeone 6. Vigon J.
Coaches
Noonan P.	Pizarro G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Denkey K. ⚽, Echenique E. (A),
21', Romulo ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
26', Barlow T. 🟨,
29', Nwobodo O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Garza J. 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, Barlow T. ⚽, Denkey K. (A),
59', Angulo J. ↓, Herrera O. ↑,
63', Nwobodo O. ↓, Anunga T. ↑,
63', Barlow T. ↓, Evander ↑,
78', Echenique E. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
78', Gidi S. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
79', Aguirre R. ↓, Gignac A. ↑,
79', Lainez D. ↓, Vigon J. ↑,
79', Garza J. ↓, Rodriguez O. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Denkey K. ⚽, Valenzuela G. (A),
88', Denkey K. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
90', Bucha P. 🟨,
90+2', Anunga T. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tigres may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Cincinnati won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Cincinnati - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.53%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cincinnati
MLS
08.03.26	Cincinnati - Toronto FC	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Minnesota United - Cincinnati	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
25.02.26	Cincinnati - Universidad O&M	9:0 ✺
MLS
21.02.26	Cincinnati - Atlanta United	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
18.02.26	Universidad O&M - Cincinnati	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWWW
- Tigres UANL
Mexican Liga MX
07.03.26	Tigres UANL - Monterrey	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Puebla - Tigres UANL	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Club América - Tigres UANL	1:4 ✺
20.02.26	Tigres UANL - Pachuca	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Cruz Azul - Tigres UANL	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions Cup
11.03.25	Tigres UANL - Cincinnati	3:1
04.03.25	Cincinnati - Tigres UANL	1:1

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