Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 25

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Tigres de Álica		Tuzos UAZ

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.63	6.87
	1.38	4.63	6.92
	1.36	4.2	7
	1.34	4.7	7.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.37)	4.54 ↑ (4.5)	7.11 ↑ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigres de Álica
67.2%

Draw
20%

Tuzos UAZ
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

20%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

19.1%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigres de Álica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Tuzos UAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres de Álica than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuzos UAZ than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Tigres de Álica - Tuzos UAZ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,
82', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Tigres de Álica has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

UAZ is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tigres de Álica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tigres de Álica is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tigres de Álica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Tigres de Álica won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tigres de Álica FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.03.26	Tigres de Álica - Tritones Vallarta	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	Tecos FC - Tigres de Álica	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Tigres de Álica - Guerreros de Autlán	3:2 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Mineros de Fresnillo - Tigres de Álica	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Tigres de Álica - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWLT
- Tuzos UAZ
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.03.26	Zapotlanejo - Tuzos UAZ	4:2 ✺
18.03.26	Tuzos UAZ - Tecos FC	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Tuzos UAZ - Tritones Vallarta	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Los Cabos United - Tuzos UAZ	3:2 ✺
06.03.26	Alacranes de Durango - Tuzos UAZ	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.11.25	Tuzos UAZ - Tigres de Álica	1:4
25.01.25	Tuzos UAZ - Tigres de Álica	3:2
21.09.24	Tigres de Álica - Tuzos UAZ	3:0

Tigres de Álica - Tuzos UAZ: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide