Match Info

Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)

Referee: Contreras Lima D. G. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One


	Puebla		Toluca

	1	X	2
	17.5	8.3	1.07
	17.19	8.69	1.12	Watch
	19	7.5	1.1
	19.2	8.58	1.11	Watch
	15	7.5	1.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	17.58 ↑ (13.33)	8.11 ↑ (7.17)	1.1 ↓ (1.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puebla
5.2%

Draw
11.3%

Toluca
83.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.8%

12.6%

80.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Puebla - Toluca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Gutierrez J. (G) 26. De Alba L. 5. Diaz K. A. M. 13. Esperanza Rosas Aguirre J. 6. Fernandez L. 3. Garcia M. 15. Gonzalez J. 14. Lopez A. 4. Nevarez D. 33. Rosales Miranda F. 21. Villegas Aguilar R. I.	12. Martinez V. (G) 14. Blackwood D. 16. Fernandez L. 28. Henry A. 13. Lopez V. 2. Martinez K. 26. Munoz I. 7. Peraza C. 15. Ramirez M. 25. Robert F. 6. Vazquez S.
Substitutes
31. Campa M. 18. Gonzalez J. 52. Hernandez C. 10. Huchet S. 22. Lopez Roque I. S. 27. Moron V. 8. Oviedo A. J. 19. Perez P. (G) 11. Samano Z. 2. Vivanco Escamilla S. X.	10. Cuevas B. 23. Diaz B. 8. Fernandez K. 11. Guatemala D. 3. Lopez J. 1. Meza Acosta A. L. (G) 4. Rodriguez Perez Y. 9. Roman M. 21. Valadez N.
Coaches
Morales C.	Lair P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Robert F. ↓, Valadez N. ↑,
45+2', Valadez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Rosales Miranda F. 🟨,
55', Valadez N. ↓, Roman M. ↑,
58', Esperanza Rosas Aguirre J. ↓, Samano Z. ↑,
63', Munoz I. ↓, Fernandez K. ↑,
63', Peraza C. ↓, Cuevas B. ↑,
65', Blackwood D. 🟨,
66', 🟨,
71', Nevarez D. 🟨,
74', 0 - 1, Fernandez K. ⚽,
86', Gonzalez J. ↓, Vivanco Escamilla S. X. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 0.

Puebla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Toluca is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:27. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puebla FC Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
04.01.26	Monterrey - Puebla	4:0 ✺
31.10.25	Toluca - Puebla	4:1 ✺
19.10.25	Puebla - Tijuana	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Puebla - Tigres UANL	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LLLTL
- Deportivo Toluca Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
12.01.26	Toluca - Atlas	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Toluca - Tijuana	5:3 ✺
09.11.25	Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Toluca	2:2 ✺
31.10.25	Toluca - Puebla	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
31.10.25	Toluca - Puebla	4:1
13.04.25	Puebla - Toluca	1:3
07.09.24	Toluca - Puebla	1:0
03.05.24	Puebla - Toluca	1:2
05.10.23	Toluca - Puebla	3:0
26.02.23	Puebla - Toluca	0:2
17.10.22	Toluca - Puebla	1:1

Puebla - Toluca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide