Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Karasai Stadium (Petropavl)

Referee: Karabaev S. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Sport+


	Kyzylzhar		Altai Semey

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.1	3.7
	1.95	3.2	3.7	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.79
	1.96	3.18	3.82	Watch
	1.91	3	3.8
	1.95	3.29	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.88)	3.18 ↑ (3.11)	3.81 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyzylzhar
47.3%

Draw
28.7%

Altai Semey
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

29.5%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

31.4%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyzylzhar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Altai Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altai Semey than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Kyzylzhar - Altai Semey Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kyzylzhar will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyzylzhar: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Celeadnic D. (G) 71. Sokolenko A. 26. Kerimzhanov O. 8. Makarenko E. (C) 11. Cheredinov A. 88. Pertsukh Y. 19. Krajisnik D. 27. Gubarev N. 10. Bjartalid J. 13. Bahoken S. 9. Adil A.	13. Konovalov I. (G) 4. Micevic N. 23. Kenzhegulov D. 3. Odeoyibo S. 15. Schmidt D. (C) 21. Jambor N. 18. Nazymkhanov A. 6. Redzhepov T. 11. Dadaev I. 99. Stoisavljevic D. 77. Popov S.
Substitutes
28. Chirkov R. 17. Eleukin M. 39. Erniyazov S. (G) 25. Galabov P. 21. Kurbanov T. 29. Loginovsky G. 7. Muldinov T. 32. Petrov V. (G) 5. Slambekov D.	35. Aliakbar A. (G) 22. Dzhanuzakov A. 9. Gorshunov E. 19. Gultyaev Z. 88. Ivanov S. 91. Khizhnichenko S. 17. Kukeev Z. 70. Mitrofanov D. 1. Sapargaliev A. (G) 8. Sapargaliyev A. 5. Saylybaev O. 46. Teterin A.
Coaches
Curcic M.	Masudov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Gubarev N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Schmidt D. ↓, Ivanov S. ↑,
55', Krajisnik D. 🟨,
58', Kerimzhanov O. ↓, Slambekov D. ↑,
71', Stoisavljevic D. ↓, Gorshunov E. ↑,
76', Makarenko E. ↓, Chirkov R. ↑,
76', Gubarev N. ↓, Eleukin M. ↑,
77', Bjartalid J. ↓, Muldinov T. ↑,
80', Dadaev I. ↓, Kukeev Z. ↑,
80', Jambor N. 🟨,
84', 0 - 1, Odeoyibo S. ⚽, Gorshunov E. (A),
86', Sokolenko A. ↓, Loginovsky G. ↑,
86', Jambor N. ↓, Mitrofanov D. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Bahoken S. ⚽, Cheredinov A. (A),
90+3', Slambekov D. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Kenzhegulov D. ⚽, Gorshunov E. (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ First League).

Kyzylzhar is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Altai's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kyzylzhar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kyzylzhar is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kyzylzhar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Including home match between the teams, Kyzylzhar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Altai	26	6	7	13	26:36	-10	25
14	Kyzylzhar	26	6	6	14	26:40	-14	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Cup
13.05.26	Zhenis - Kyzylzhar	2:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
09.05.26	Astana - Kyzylzhar	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Kyzylzhar - Okzhetpes	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Kyzylzhar	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
25.04.26	Kyzylzhar - Ordabasy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL
- Altai Semey
Kazakh Cup
13.05.26	Aktobe - Altai Semey	1:2 penalties ✺
Kazakh Premier League
10.05.26	Altai Semey - Ordabasy	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Atyrau - Altai Semey	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
30.04.26	Altai Semey - Ulytau	4:3 ET ✺
Kazakh Premier League
25.04.26	Altai Semey - Zhenis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Cup
25.03.19	Kyzylzhar - Altai Semey	0:0

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