The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tochigi 14.3%
Draw 26%
Avispa Fukuoka 59.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.1%
25.3%
53.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.9%
25%
54.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tochigi's form might have worsened.
Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avispa Fukuoka's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tochigi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avispa Fukuoka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
12.5%
87.5%
Tochigi - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions
Users Predictions:
Avispa Fukuoka will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Avispa Fukuoka will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Tanno K. (G) 33. Rafael Costa 40. Takashima S. 37. Kimura Y. 5. Mori R. 20. Ide S. 78. Horiuchi Y. 22. Takahashi H. 23. Hoshino S. 39. Yagi K. 9. Sugawara R.
1. Nagaishi T. (G) 37. Tashiro M. 3. Nara T. 5. Kamijima T. 47. Hashimoto Y. 6. Shigemi M. 15. Akino H. 18. Iwasaki Y. 13. Ben Khalifa N. 7. Kanamori T. 17. Wellington
Substitutes
44. Ageishi R. 10. Igarashi T. 25. Iwasaki H. 18. Kawana R. 38. Kobori S. 3. Omori H. 31. Shikano S. (G) 29. Yano K. 47. Yoshino H.
20. Ando T. 22. Fujimoto K. 8. Konno K. 29. Maejima Y. 88. Matsuoka D. 11. Miki T. 24. Obata Y. (G) 50. Sato S. 9. Zahedi S.
Coaches
Kobayashi S.
Kim Myong-hwi
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Sato S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Mori R. ↓, Kawana R. ↑,
61', Horiuchi Y. ↓, Omori H. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Yagi K. ⚽,
72', Wellington ↓, Zahedi S. ↑,
72', Sato S. ↓, Konno K. ↑,
72', Hoshino S. ↓, Igarashi T. ↑,
72', Sugawara R. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
76', Kanamori T. ↓, Miki T. ↑,
76', Shigemi M. ↓, Matsuoka D. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Konno K. ⚽,
84', Nara T. ↓, Ando T. ↑,
88', Yagi K. ↓, Kobori S. ↑,
90+4', Kamijima T. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 0.
Recent matches Tochigi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Avispa Fukuoka in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Tochigi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Avispa Fukuoka is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 8:18 (average 0.7:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Tochigi won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.7:1.2).
Japan
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Tanno K. (G) 
Rafael Costa 
Ben Khalifa N. 
Zahedi S. 
Kim Myong-hwi 
