Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 12

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Kanseki Stadium Tochigi (Utsunomiya)

Referee: Uehara N. (Jpn)


	Tochigi		Iwaki

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	2	Watch
	3.6	3.1	1.93
	3.75	3.2	2
	4.09	3.33	2.02
	4.1	3.33	2.02
	3.6	3.2	1.91
	3.87	3.28	1.94	Watch
	3.8	3.2	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↓ (4.06)	3.24 ↓ (3.33)	1.98 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi
24.2%

Draw
28.7%

Iwaki
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

28.1%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

27.3%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Iwaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Tochigi - Iwaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tochigi will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Iwaki will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Iwaki: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Tanno K. (G) 17. Fujitani T. 33. Rafael Costa 5. Otani N. 24. Kanbe K. 7. Ishida R. 19. Oshima K. 42. Minamino H. 6. Omori S. 15. Okuda K. 32. Miyazaki K.	21. Tachikawa K. (G) 2. Ishida Y. 3. Teruyama H. 34. Omori R. 19. Onishi Y. 32. Igarashi S. 7. Nishikawa J. 14. Yamaguchi D. 23. Osako R. 10. Arima K. 17. Tanimura K.
Substitutes
20. Ide S. 9. Ismaila O. 1. Kawata S. (G) 38. Kobori S. 10. Mori T. 41. Park Y. 40. Takashima S.	11. Buwanika K. 20. Kato Y. 9. Kondo Y. 40. Shimoda Y. 18. Shirawachi K. 1. Tanaka K. (G) 24. Yamashita Y.
Coaches
Tanaka M.	Tamura Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Tanimura K. ⚽, Igarashi S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Kanbe K. 🟨,
59', Nishikawa J. ↓, Yamashita Y. ↑,
59', Arima K. ↓, Kondo Y. ↑,
63', Oshima K. ↓, Kobori S. ↑,
63', Omori S. ↓, Mori T. ↑,
66', Tanimura K. ↓, Buwanika K. ↑,
73', Miyazaki K. ↓, Ismaila O. ↑,
73', Kanbe K. ↓, Park Y. ↑,
77', Yamaguchi D. ↓, Shirawachi K. ↑,
77', Ishida Y. ↓, Shimoda Y. ↑,
90+2', Minamino H. ↓, Ide S. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 10).

Tochigi is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Iwaki is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tochigi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Iwaki will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Tochigi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 League
21.04.24	Kagoshima United - Tochigi	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Mito HollyHock - Tochigi	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Tochigi - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:0 ✺
03.04.24	JEF United Chiba - Tochigi	8:0 ✺
30.03.24	Tochigi - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTTLT
- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
21.04.24	Oita Trinita - Iwaki	0:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
17.04.24	Iwaki - Albirex Niigata	0:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
13.04.24	Iwaki - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:3 ✺
07.04.24	Yokohama FC - Iwaki	2:2 ✺
03.04.24	Iwaki - Fujieda MYFC	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
05.07.23	Iwaki - Tochigi	1:0
23.04.23	Tochigi - Iwaki	1:0

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