Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 10

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Mito)

Referee: Otsubo H. (Jpn)


	Mito HollyHock		Tochigi

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	5	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.33
	1.8	3.3	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4.79
	1.83	3.5	4.79
	1.73	3.3	4.4
	1.79	3.34	4.56	Watch
	1.78	3.3	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.07)	3.34 ↑ (3.14)	4.62 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mito HollyHock
52%

Draw
27.8%

Tochigi
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

29.8%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

29.4%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mito HollyHock's performance.

Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mito HollyHock that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Mito HollyHock - Tochigi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Matsubara S. (G) 19. Murata K. 33. Ushizawa T. 4. Yamada N. 3. Osaki K. 96. Kurokawa A. 88. Nagai K. 10. Maeda R. 7. Arai H. 45. Teranuma S. 9. Ando M.	27. Tanno K. (G) 5. Otani N. 2. Hiramatsu W. 17. Fujitani T. 7. Ishida R. 24. Kanbe K. 6. Omori S. 42. Minamino H. 19. Oshima K. 15. Okuda K. 29. Yano K.
Substitutes
5. Kusumoto T. 15. Nagao Y. 41. Nakayama K. (G) 8. Ochiai R. 30. Tokuno S. 49. Uchida Y. 24. Yamazaki K.	14. Dohi K. 20. Ide S. 9. Ismaila O. 1. Kawata S. (G) 38. Kobori S. 32. Miyazaki K. 40. Takashima S.
Coaches
Hamasaki Y.	Tanaka M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', Yano K. ↓, Miyazaki K. ↑,
27', Otani N. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Kurokawa A. ⚽, Arai H. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Minamino H. ⚽, Ishida R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', Oshima K. ↓, Kobori S. ↑,
72', Ando M. ↓, Ochiai R. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Minamino H. ⚽, Ishida R. (A),
77', 2 - 2, Ochiai R. ⚽,
79', Omori S. 🟨,
79', Teranuma S. (Pen),
82', Arai H. ↓, Tokuno S. ↑,
82', Nagai K. ↓, Nagao Y. ↑,
87', Kurokawa A. ↓, Yamazaki K. ↑,
87', Teranuma S. ↓, Uchida Y. ↑,
90+1', Okuda K. ↓, Ismaila O. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mito HollyHock won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Mito HollyHock is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Mito HollyHock won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Mito HollyHock won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League
07.04.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Mito HollyHock	0:0 ✺
03.04.24	Blaublitz Akita - Mito HollyHock	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Mito HollyHock - Kagoshima United	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Mito HollyHock - JEF United Chiba	0:0 ✺
20.03.24	Fagiano Okayama - Mito HollyHock	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTTTL
- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 League
07.04.24	Tochigi - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:0 ✺
03.04.24	JEF United Chiba - Tochigi	8:0 ✺
30.03.24	Tochigi - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Tochigi - Oita Trinita	2:1 ✺
20.03.24	Blaublitz Akita - Tochigi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
26.08.23	Tochigi - Mito HollyHock	2:2
13.05.23	Mito HollyHock - Tochigi	2:2
16.10.22	Tochigi - Mito HollyHock	2:3
30.03.22	Mito HollyHock - Tochigi	0:1
18.09.21	Tochigi - Mito HollyHock	0:0
09.05.21	Mito HollyHock - Tochigi	1:1
21.11.20	Tochigi - Mito HollyHock	1:3

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