Match Info

J3 League - Round 25

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Kanseki Stadium Tochigi (Utsunomiya)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tochigi		Nara Club

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	3.7
	1.82	3.2	3.9
	1.88	3.38	4.18
	1.95	3.23	3.97	Watch
	1.91	3	3.8
	1.82	3.26	4.13	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.8)	3.25 ↓ (3.4)	4 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi
49%

Draw
28.1%

Nara Club
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

27.4%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

30%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Nara Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tochigi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nara Club than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Tochigi - Nara Club Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tochigi will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Nara Club will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Tochigi (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tochigi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawata S. (G) 3. Omori H. 88. Uchida K. 25. Iwasaki H. 8. Fukumori K. 47. Yoshino H. 11. Aoshima T. 18. Kawana R. 81. Nakano K. 10. Igarashi T. 32. Ota R.	15. Okada S. (G) 16. Okuda Y. 5. Suzuki D. 3. Sawada Y. 32. Yu Y. 25. Kamigaki R. 8. Horiuchi H. 7. Tamura R. 14. Nakashima K. 23. Okada Y. 11. Hyakuda M.
Substitutes
14. Diamanka C. 37. Kimura Y. 5. Mori R. 80. Otabor K. 4. Sato S. 22. Takahashi H. 7. Tanahashi A. 27. Tanno K. (G) 29. Yano K.	70. Kawatani N. 20. Kunitake Y. 41. Morita R. 51. Sekinuma N. (G) 2. Tagashira R. 17. Tamura S. 13. Tsunami Y. 10. Yamamoto S. 24. Yamamoto S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Kawana R. ⚽, Nakano K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tamura R. ↓, Kawatani N. ↑,
46', Okuda Y. ↓, Morita R. ↑,
64', Igarashi T. ↓, Otabor K. ↑,
64', Fukumori K. ↓, Takahashi H. ↑,
64', Hyakuda M. ↓, Tamura S. ↑,
64', Yu Y. ↓, Kunitake Y. ↑,
69', Uchida K. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
72', Nakano K. 🟨,
74', 1 - 1, Tamura S. ⚽, Okada Y. (A),
82', Nakashima K. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
90+1', Ota R. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
90+1', Iwasaki H. ↓, Mori R. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Tochigi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nara Club is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Tochigi is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tochigi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi SC
Japan J3 League
23.08.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Tochigi - Azul Claro Numazu	3:2 ✺
26.07.25	Tochigi City - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
20.07.25	Tochigi - Sagamihara	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Tochigi	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWLL
- Nara Club
Japan J3 League
23.08.25	Nara Club - Kochi United	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Nara Club	0:1 ✺
26.07.25	Nara Club - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Gifu - Nara Club	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Nara Club	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
17.05.25	Nara Club - Tochigi	0:0

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