Match Info

J3 League - Round 10

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Kanseki Stadium Tochigi (Utsunomiya)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tochigi		Zweigen Kanazawa

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.95	2.6
	2.5	3.05	2.7
	2.71	3.05	2.84
	2.72	2.91	2.82	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.62
	2.59	2.88	2.66	Watch
	2.5	3.05	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.33)	2.97 ↓ (3.45)	2.71 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi
35.5%

Draw
30.8%

Zweigen Kanazawa
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

26.1%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

26.2%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Zweigen Kanazawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Tochigi - Zweigen Kanazawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawata S. (G) 3. Omori H. 2. Hiramatsu W. 25. Iwasaki H. 8. Fukumori K. 11. Aoshima T. 47. Yoshino H. 18. Kawana R. 7. Tanahashi A. 10. Igarashi T. 38. Kobori S.	21. Yamanoi T. (G) 39. Shoji H. 38. Yamamoto N. 20. Nagakura H. 25. Kojima M. 15. Nishiya Y. 8. Oyama K. 23. Shinomiya Y. 49. Osawa T. 24. Nishiya K. 10. Patric
Substitutes
20. Ide S. 5. Mori R. 33. Rafael Costa 9. Sugawara R. 22. Takahashi H. 40. Takashima S. 27. Tanno K. (G) 39. Yagi K. 29. Yano K.	14. Ishihara T. 4. Matsumoto D. 30. Otani H. 41. Shimada S. 1. Shirai Y. (G) 11. Sugiura K. 9. Toshida Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Oyama K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Aoshima T. 🟨,
53', Igarashi T. 🟨,
65', Igarashi T. ↓, Yagi K. ↑,
65', Kobori S. ↓, Sugawara R. ↑,
69', Shinomiya Y. ↓, Ishihara T. ↑,
69', Patric ↓, Toshida Y. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Kojima M. ⚽, Nishiya Y. (A),
75', Osawa T. ↓, Sugiura K. ↑,
75', Nishiya K. ↓, Otani H. ↑,
78', Hiramatsu W. 🟨,
80', Fukumori K. ↓, Takahashi H. ↑,
80', Yoshino H. ↓, Rafael Costa ↑,
89', Aoshima T. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
90+2', Oyama K. ↓, Matsumoto D. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Tochigi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tochigi have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:15 (average 0.8:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Tochigi won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:6 (average 0.9:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi SC
Japan J League Cup
16.04.25	Tochigi - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
13.04.25	Gifu - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Tochigi - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Tochigi - Tochigi City	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Tochigi - Vegalta Sendai	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWLTW
- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J3 League
13.04.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Nara Club	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Gainare Tottori - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Nagano Parceiro	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Osaka - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Shonan Bellmare	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
01.07.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tochigi	0:1
03.05.23	Tochigi - Zweigen Kanazawa	4:0
23.10.22	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tochigi	0:0
03.04.22	Tochigi - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:2
21.11.21	Tochigi - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0
25.04.21	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tochigi	1:1
13.12.20	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tochigi	1:1

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