The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tokushima Vortis 43.2%
Draw 29.5%
Ehime 27.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.4%
26.4%
18.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.1%
26.3%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tokushima Vortis's form might have worsened.
Ehime has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ehime's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokushima Vortis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ehime, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Tokushima Vortis - Ehime Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Tokushima will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nagaishi T. (G) 20. Matsuda K. 3. Yamada N. 44. Yamaguchi T. 8. Iwao K. 24. Takada S. 7. Kodama S. 6. Kanuma N. 42. Takagi Y. 27. Izuchukwu L. 14. Kajiya Y.
36. Tsuji S. (G) 5. Kuroishi T. 50. Sugiyama K. 44. Moriyama K. 49. Abe R. 70. Maeda R. 24. Miyamoto K. 22. Takemoto Y. 38. Hino S. 14. Saito R. 17. Taguchi Y.
Substitutes
69. Fukuta M. 31. Hasegawa T. (G) 11. Lucas Barcelos 97. Moyo M. 55. Shigehiro T. 10. Sugimoto T. 77. Thales Paula 9. Thonny Anderson 22. Yanagisawa K.
11. Fujihara Y. 16. Hosoya K. 99. Kabayama R. 26. Kanazawa K. 39. Muto H. 31. Shirasaka F. (G) 88. Yamaguchi T. 13. Yamashita Y. 48. Yukutomo T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
3', Abe R. 🟨,
27', Kodama S. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Kuroishi T. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Maeda R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Taguchi Y. ↓, Yamaguchi T. ↑,
46', Kodama S. ↓, Sugimoto T. ↑,
46', Izuchukwu L. ↓, Lucas Barcelos ↑,
48', 0 - 3, Hino S. ⚽, Yamaguchi T. (A),
55', Yamaguchi T. ↓, Thonny Anderson ↑,
55', Takada S. ↓, Yanagisawa K. ↑,
64', Takemoto Y. ↓, Kabayama R. ↑,
71', 0 - 4, Saito R. (Penalty Awarded),
72', 0 - 5, Yamaguchi T. ⚽, Kabayama R. (A),
75', Thonny Anderson 🟨,
78', Miyamoto K. ↓, Yamashita Y. ↑,
78', Maeda R. ↓, Hosoya K. ↑,
82', Kajiya Y. ↓, Fukuta M. ↑,
84', Saito R. ↓, Yukutomo T. ↑,
87', 0 - 6, Kabayama R. ⚽, Yamaguchi T. (A),
90+4', Thonny Anderson 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 4.
Recent performances by Tokushima have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ehime is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Ehime may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Tokushima is a strong favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tokushima won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:11. (average 1.5:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokushima won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 1.4:0.2).