Match Info

Date: 23 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Pocarisweat Stadium (Naruto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tokushima Vortis		Ryūkyū

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	6	Watch
	1.62	3.3	5.25
	1.7	3.2	5.5
	1.64	3.4	5.4
	1.68	3.62	6.01
	1.6	3.25	5.5
	1.7	3.58	5.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.7)	3.41 ↑ (3.3)	5.59 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokushima Vortis
56%

Draw
27.3%

Ryūkyū
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

27.2%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

27%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92%	4%	4%

Tokushima Vortis - Ryūkyū Predictions

Users Predictions: Tokushima Vortis will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tokushima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tokushima is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tokushima won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Tokushima won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
10.07.22	Tokushima Vortis - Yokohama FC	1:1 ✺
06.07.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Tokushima Vortis	1:1 ✺
02.07.22	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tokushima Vortis	0:1 ✺
26.06.22	Tokushima Vortis - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
22.06.22	Kashiwa Reysol - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTWWL
- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J2 League
17.07.22	Ryūkyū - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
10.07.22	Ryūkyū - Vegalta Sendai	1:1 ✺
06.07.22	Grulla Morioka - Ryūkyū	0:1 ✺
03.07.22	Tokyo Verdy - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
26.06.22	Ryūkyū - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
29.05.22	Ryūkyū - Tokushima Vortis	3:3
03.10.20	Tokushima Vortis - Ryūkyū	1:1
11.07.20	Ryūkyū - Tokushima Vortis	1:3
24.08.19	Tokushima Vortis - Ryūkyū	6:1
16.03.19	Ryūkyū - Tokushima Vortis	2:1

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