Match Info

Date: 3 July 2022, Sunday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tokyo Verdy		Ryūkyū

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.65	3.5	4.4
	1.7	3.7	4.5
	1.67	3.6	4.6
	1.72	3.85	5.14
	1.65	3.4	4.75
	1.71	3.92	4.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.71)	3.67 ↑ (3.45)	4.78 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo Verdy
55.2%

Draw
25.3%

Ryūkyū
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.8%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

26.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Ryūkyū has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48%	36%	16%

Tokyo Verdy - Ryūkyū Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 12 - 48%). Ryūkyū will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 36%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo Verdy: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 16 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tokyo Verdy won 1.

Recent matches Tokyo Verdy is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ryūkyū has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ryūkyū could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tokyo Verdy is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tokyo Verdy won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Tokyo Verdy won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J2 League
26.06.22	JEF United Chiba - Tokyo Verdy	3:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
22.06.22	Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
18.06.22	Tokyo Verdy - Renofa Yamaguchi	3:0 ✺
12.06.22	Tokyo Verdy - Grulla Morioka	2:2 ✺
05.06.22	Yokohama FC - Tokyo Verdy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.6 LWWTT
- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J2 League
26.06.22	Ryūkyū - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
18.06.22	Fagiano Okayama - Ryūkyū	1:0 ✺
11.06.22	Ryūkyū - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
05.06.22	Montedio Yamagata - Ryūkyū	4:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
01.06.22	Ryūkyū - Omiya Ardija	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
30.03.22	Ryūkyū - Tokyo Verdy	2:5
21.11.21	Tokyo Verdy - Ryūkyū	1:1
17.04.21	Ryūkyū - Tokyo Verdy	2:0
28.11.20	Ryūkyū - Tokyo Verdy	4:0
08.08.20	Tokyo Verdy - Ryūkyū	0:1
12.10.19	Ryūkyū - Tokyo Verdy	1:5
13.04.19	Tokyo Verdy - Ryūkyū	1:1

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