Match Info

Date: 27 June 2021, Sunday


	Tokushima Vortis		Yokohama F. Marinos

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.33	1.61	Watch
	4.5	4	1.6
	4.75	4.2	1.6	Watch
	4.7	3.95	1.63
	4.99	4.24	1.68
	4.8	3.9	1.62	Watch
	5	4.05	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↑ (4.39)	4.1 ↑ (4.05)	1.63 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokushima Vortis
19.6%

Draw
22.9%

Yokohama F. Marinos
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

23.1%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

19%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yokohama F. Marinos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24%	4%	72%

Tokushima Vortis - Yokohama F. Marinos Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Tokushima will win (votes: 6 - 24%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 18 - 72%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification)).

Tokushima has the most likely position - 17 (16.61%), has project points - 39, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of qualify for acl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Yokohama FM has the most likely position - 2 (60.68%), has project points - 77, has currently - 37, has a good chance of qualify for acl (83%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Tokushima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Yokohama FM is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tokushima won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Tokushima won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J1 League
23.06.21	Tokushima Vortis - Tokyo	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
09.06.21	Tokushima Vortis - Kochi United	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
30.05.21	Tokushima Vortis - Shonan Bellmare	1:1 ✺
27.05.21	Gamba Osaka - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
22.05.21	Tokushima Vortis - Nagoya Grampus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTLT
- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
23.06.21	Yokohama F. Marinos - Sagan Tosu	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.06.21	Yokohama F. Marinos - Consadole Sapporo	1:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
09.06.21	Yokohama F. Marinos - Honda FC	2:3 penalties ✺
Japan J League Cup
06.06.21	Consadole Sapporo - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
30.05.21	Yokohama F. Marinos - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
17.03.21	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokushima Vortis	1:0
16.08.14	Tokushima Vortis - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:3
15.03.14	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokushima Vortis	3:0

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