Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 16

Date: 3 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Nissan Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
Nigeria	Sporty TV
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto


	Yokohama F. Marinos		Sagan Tosu

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.75	5	Watch
	1.58	4.33	4.8
	1.54	4.44	4.93	Watch
	1.57	4.67	5.3
	1.58	4.58	4.99	Watch
	1.5	4.33	5
	1.57	4.63	5.13	Watch
	1.56	4.5	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.66)	4.53 ↑ (4.29)	4.99 ↑ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama F. Marinos
60.4%

Draw
20.8%

Sagan Tosu
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

21.9%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

20.6%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	11.1%	5.6%

Yokohama F. Marinos - Sagan Tosu Predictions

Users Predictions: Yokohama F. Marinos will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Popp W. (G) 27. Matsubara K. 15. Kamijima T. 5. Eduardo 24. Kato H. 8. Kida T. 20. Amano J. 6. Watanabe K. 11. Yan 10. Anderson Lopes 7. Elber	71. Park Il-gyu (G) 42. Harada W. 2. Yamazaki K. 3. Kimura S. 29. Inoue T. 23. Kikuchi T. 18. Hino S. 5. Kawahara S. 13. Yokoyama A. 22. Togashi C. 99. Marcelo Ryan
Substitutes
21. Iikura H. (G) 17. Inoue K. 16. Kato R. 23. Miyaichi R. 29. Nam Tae-Hee 14. Uenaka A. 28. Yamane R.	6. Fukuta A. 21. Horigome Y. 88. Naganuma Y. 8. Nakahara H. 1. Riera Rodriguez A. (G) 7. Tezuka K. 16. Ueebisu K.
Coaches
Kewell H.	Kawai K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Inoue T. ↓, Naganuma Y. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Yokoyama A. ⚽, Marcelo Ryan (A),
60', Kato H. ↓, Kato R. ↑,
60', Kawahara S. ↓, Fukuta A. ↑,
66', Watanabe K. ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
66', Anderson Lopes ↓, Uenaka A. ↑,
66', Amano J. ↓, Yamane R. ↑,
71', Kikuchi T. 🟨,
75', Hino S. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
75', Kikuchi T. ↓, Tezuka K. ↑,
75', Yokoyama A. ↓, Ueebisu K. ↑,
79', Matsubara K. ↓, Nam Tae-Hee ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yokohama FM won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Yokohama FM could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Yokohama FM is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Yokohama FM won 11 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 36-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Yokohama FM won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
29.06.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo Verdy	1:2 ✺
26.06.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:1 ✺
23.06.24	Consadole Sapporo - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1 ✺
19.06.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:2 ✺
15.06.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Machida Zelvia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWWL
- Sagan Tosu
Japan J1 League
30.06.24	Sagan Tosu - Kashiwa Reysol	1:4 ✺
26.06.24	Cerezo Osaka - Sagan Tosu	1:0 ✺
22.06.24	Sagan Tosu - Kyoto Sanga	3:0 ✺
16.06.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Sagan Tosu	2:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Sagan Tosu - Kochi United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
15.09.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Sagan Tosu	1:1
Japan J League Cup
18.06.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Sagan Tosu	6:1
Japan J1 League
03.05.23	Sagan Tosu - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:3
Japan J League Cup
26.03.23	Sagan Tosu - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:2
Japan J1 League
16.07.22	Sagan Tosu - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:2
18.03.22	Yokohama F. Marinos - Sagan Tosu	0:0
25.08.21	Sagan Tosu - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:4

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