Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 12

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)

Referee: Iida J. (Jpn)


	Tokyo Verdy		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
	2.38	3	3.25	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.2
	2.33	3.07	3.07	Watch
	2.43	3.02	3.44
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.33	3.2	3.28	Watch
	2.34	3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.37)	3.07 ↓ (3.21)	3.23 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo Verdy
40.3%

Draw
30.6%

Júbilo Iwata
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

29.2%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

28.8%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	44.4%	33.3%

Tokyo Verdy - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Iwata will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vidotto M. (G) 22. Onaga H. 4. Hayashi N. 15. Chida K. 26. Hakamata Y. 10. Miki T. 17. Inami T. 7. Morita K. 14. Tiago Alves 9. Someno I. 20. Kimura Y.	1. Kawashima E. (G) 26. Nishikubo S. 28. Kanuma N. 36. Ricardo Graca 4. Matsubara K. 14. Matsumoto M. 50. Uemura H. 7. Uehara R. 37. Hirakawa R. 11. Germain R. 99. Matheus Peixoto
Substitutes
33. Matsuhashi Y. 6. Miyahara K. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 8. Saito K. 23. Tsunashima Y. 25. Yamada Y. 11. Yamami H.	19. Bruno Jose 77. Fujiwara K. 31. Furukawa Y. 41. Ishida M. 5. Ogawa D. 15. Suzuki K. 20. Tsuboi Y. (G)
Coaches
Jofuku H.	Yokouchi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', Miki T. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Someno I. (Pen),
41', 2 - 0, Kimura Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Tiago Alves ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
46', Hirakawa R. ↓, Furukawa Y. ↑,
55', 2 - 1, Matheus Peixoto ⚽,
57', Miki T. ↓, Miyahara K. ↑,
58', Nishikubo S. 🟨,
62', Matsumoto M. ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
62', Nishikubo S. ↓, Fujiwara K. ↑,
64', Matsuhashi Y. 🟨,
67', 2 - 2, Germain R. ⚽,
70', Onaga H. ↓, Yamami H. ↑,
71', Hayashi N. ↓, Yamada Y. ↑,
76', Yamami H. 🟨,
82', Furukawa Y. 🟨,
84', Inami T. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
84', Hakamata Y. ↓, Tsunashima Y. ↑,
87', Ricardo Graca 🟥,
88', Fujiwara K. ↓, Suzuki K. ↑,
90+1', Matheus Peixoto ↓, Ogawa D. ↑,
90+7', Uemura H. 🟨,
90+9', 3 - 2, Kimura Y. ⚽, Morita K. (A),
90+13', Germain R. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tokyo Verdy won 1.

Tokyo Verdy is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Iwata is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tokyo Verdy will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Tokyo Verdy won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Tokyo Verdy won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League
03.05.24	Sagan Tosu - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	Tokyo Verdy - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
17.04.24	Kagoshima United - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
13.04.24	Tokyo Verdy - Tokyo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTTWT
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J1 League
03.05.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Júbilo Iwata	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Júbilo Iwata - Machida Zelvia	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Júbilo Iwata	2:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
17.04.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Júbilo Iwata	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
13.04.24	Júbilo Iwata - Nagoya Grampus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
28.10.23	Júbilo Iwata - Tokyo Verdy	1:1
03.05.23	Tokyo Verdy - Júbilo Iwata	0:0
Japan Emperors Cup
20.07.22	Tokyo Verdy - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 ET
Japan J2 League
14.08.21	Júbilo Iwata - Tokyo Verdy	2:1
23.05.21	Tokyo Verdy - Júbilo Iwata	0:2
21.10.20	Tokyo Verdy - Júbilo Iwata	0:0
02.09.20	Júbilo Iwata - Tokyo Verdy	2:2

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