Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo)

Referee: Sutani Y. (Jpn)


	Tokyo Verdy		Montedio Yamagata

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	5.25	Watch
	1.71	3.3	4.2
	1.85	3.25	4.2
	1.8	3.66	4.82
	1.7	3.3	4.5
	1.79	3.65	4.45	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.08)	3.42 ↑ (3.25)	4.57 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tokyo Verdy
52.6%

Draw
27.1%

Montedio Yamagata
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

27.9%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

26.7%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tokyo Verdy's performance.

Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montedio Yamagata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tokyo Verdy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montedio Yamagata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	16.7%	5.6%

Tokyo Verdy - Montedio Yamagata Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo Verdy: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tokyo Verdy won 2.

Recent matches Tokyo Verdy is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Montedio Yamagata has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tokyo Verdy will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Tokyo Verdy won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Tokyo Verdy won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J2 League
16.04.23	JEF United Chiba - Tokyo Verdy	1:0 ✺
12.04.23	Tokyo Verdy - Blaublitz Akita	2:1 ✺
08.04.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokyo Verdy	2:1 ✺
01.04.23	Tokyo Verdy - Omiya Ardija	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Tokyo Verdy - Roasso Kumamoto	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLWW
- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
16.04.23	Montedio Yamagata - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1 ✺
12.04.23	Tochigi - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ✺
08.04.23	Omiya Ardija - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	Montedio Yamagata - Mito HollyHock	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Montedio Yamagata	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
24.09.22	Tokyo Verdy - Montedio Yamagata	1:0
26.03.22	Montedio Yamagata - Tokyo Verdy	3:3
03.11.21	Montedio Yamagata - Tokyo Verdy	1:2
07.03.21	Tokyo Verdy - Montedio Yamagata	0:2
24.10.20	Montedio Yamagata - Tokyo Verdy	4:0
25.07.20	Tokyo Verdy - Montedio Yamagata	0:0
18.08.19	Tokyo Verdy - Montedio Yamagata	0:0

Upcoming Matches