Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 36

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Tombense		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.4	5.25
	1.63	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.65	6.26
	1.67	3.61	6.18
	1.57	3.6	5.5
	1.64	3.62	5.7	Watch
	1.65	3.45	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.9)	3.56 ↑ (3.29)	5.68 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
57.3%

Draw
26.3%

Ponte Preta
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

28.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

28.1%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tombense's performance.

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tombense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Tombense - Ponte Preta Predictions

Users Predictions: Tombense will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Felipe Garcia (G) 22. Kevin 3. Ednei 4. Roger Carvalho (C) 6. Egidio 14. Bruno Silva 8. Bruninho 10. Matheus Frizzo 7. Guilherme Santos 17. Keke 9. Fernandao	12. Caique Franca (G) 14. Luiz Felipe 4. Castro L. 27. Fabio Sanches (C) 15. Artur 6. Filipinho 8. Felipe Amaral 40. Ramon 10. Elvis 11. Pablo Dyego 19. Jeh
Substitutes
19. Alex Sandro 2. Augusto 20. Daniel Amorim 23. Jaderson 11. Kleiton 12. Leo Lang (G) 21. Marcelinho 16. Pedro Costa 13. Pierre 15. Rafinha 18. Robert 5. Wesley	17. Andrade S. 18. Fraga 77. Igor Torres 5. Leo Naldi 30. Luan Ribeiro (G) 16. Paulo Baya 22. Paul Villero 9. Pereira Silva E. C. 21. Tales 3. Thiago Lopes 13. Thomas Kayck 23. Weverton
Coaches
Junior M.	Brigatti J.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Tombense is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ponte Preta is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ponte Preta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tombense is a favorite.

There will not play in Ponte Preta: Jean Carlos (Injury)

There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Mateus Silva (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Tombense to win the game is with odds 1.86.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tombense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Tombense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
04.11.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Tombense	1:2 ✺
30.10.23	Chapecoense - Tombense	1:2 ✺
19.10.23	Tombense - Vila Nova	2:1 ✺
14.10.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Tombense	0:0 ✺
07.10.23	Tombense - Juventude	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.8 WWWTT
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
04.11.23	Ponte Preta - Avaí	0:1 ✺
27.10.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
23.10.23	Ponte Preta - Ituano	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Ponte Preta - Atlético Goianiense	0:2 ✺
09.10.23	Sport Recife - Ponte Preta	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
15.07.23	Ponte Preta - Tombense	0:1
15.10.22	Tombense - Ponte Preta	0:0
03.07.22	Ponte Preta - Tombense	0:0

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