Match Info

Serie D - Round 10

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida (Tombos)


	Tombense		Vitória ES

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.50	4.50
	1.74	3.25	4.35
	1.63	3.55	4.85
	1.7	3.33	5.03	Watch
	1.67	3.20	4.60
	1.66	3.40	4.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.97)	3.37 ↑ (3.1)	4.7 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
54%

Draw
26.8%

Vitória ES
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

29.6%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.3%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tombense's performance.

Vitória ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tombense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória ES than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Tombense - Vitória ES Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Vitória ES may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tombense is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tombense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie D
30.05.26	Porto SC - Tombense	1:3 ✺
23.05.26	Tombense - Noroeste	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Tombense - Democrata GV	3:1 ✺
10.05.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Tombense	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
06.05.26	Juventude - Tombense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWTL
- Vitória ES
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
06.06.26	Vitória ES - Rio Branco-VN	0:1 ✺
03.06.26	Vilavelhense - Vitória ES	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
30.05.26	Vitória ES - Noroeste	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
27.05.26	Vitória ES - Sport Capixaba	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Vitória ES	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
04.04.26	Vitória ES - Tombense	0:1

Tombense - Vitória ES: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide