Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 28Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday
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Tona |
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Montañesa |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.12 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
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 |
2.2 |
2.98 |
3.38 |
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 |
2.19 |
3.02 |
3.33 |
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 |
2.15 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
|
 |
2.16 |
2.93 |
3.36 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↓
(2.18) |
2.99 ↑
(2.94) |
3.29 ↓
(3.29) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tona
42% | Draw
30.4% | Montañesa
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Montañesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tona than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montañesa than the current prediction. (-1%)Tona - Montañesa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tona won 1.Recent performances by Tona have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Montañesa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). Tona will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.4:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, Tona won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Montanesa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 | 9 |
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| 17 | UE Tona | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Tona - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.65%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5 | | | 16.11.25 | Montañesa - Tona | 1:0 | | 19.01.25 | Tona - Montañesa | 2:2 | | 08.09.24 | Montañesa - Tona | 1:4 | | 18.02.24 | Tona - Montañesa | 1:2 | | 01.10.23 | Montañesa - Tona | 3:2 | | 29.01.23 | Tona - Montañesa | 0:2 | | 02.10.22 | Montañesa - Tona | 1:1 |
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