Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 21

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Tonbridge Angels		Aveley

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.5	3.9
	1.8	3.6	4
	1.82	3.59	4.05
	1.84	3.59	4.13
	1.83	3.4	4
	1.8	3.6	4.02
	1.8	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.65)	3.55 ↓ (3.73)	4.01 ↓ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tonbridge Angels
51.1%

Draw
25.9%

Aveley
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24.8%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

23.8%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tonbridge Angels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tonbridge Angels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Tonbridge Angels - Aveley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Ring J. (Own goal),
21', 1 - 1, Akanbi I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 2 - 1, Sutcliffe E. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Tonbridge is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aveley is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Tonbridge is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tonbridge won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Tonbridge won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
10.12.24	Tonbridge Angels - Enfield Town	1:3 ✺
30.11.24	Weymouth - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
26.11.24	Welling United - Tonbridge Angels	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	Tonbridge Angels - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Gosport Borough - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWTWL
- Aveley
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Barnet - Aveley	2:0 ✺
English National League South
02.12.24	Aveley - Maidstone United	0:3 ✺
29.11.24	Aveley - Welling United	1:1 ✺
25.11.24	Aveley - St Albans City	6:3 ✺
23.11.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Aveley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
17.08.24	Aveley - Tonbridge Angels	2:2
11.03.24	Aveley - Tonbridge Angels	2:1
21.11.23	Tonbridge Angels - Aveley	1:1

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