Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Trophy - 1/64-finals

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Gosport Borough		Tonbridge Angels

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.25
	2.85	3.4	2.29
	2.69	3.7	2.25
	2.78	3.61	2.34	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.25
	2.82	3.35	2.33
	2.85	3.4	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.38)	3.43 ↑ (3.28)	2.29 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gosport Borough
33%

Draw
26.8%

Tonbridge Angels
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

28.2%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.6%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gosport Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gosport Borough's performance.

Tonbridge Angels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Gosport Borough - Tonbridge Angels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 1 - 0, Cope J. ⚽,

Preview

Gosport is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tonbridge is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tonbridge could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Gosport have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gosport won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Gosport won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gosport Borough
English Southern League South Division
13.11.24	Gosport Borough - Dorchester Town	2:2 ✺
02.11.24	Poole Town - Gosport Borough	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Gosport Borough - Taunton Town	5:1 ✺
English Southern League South Division
23.10.24	Gosport Borough - Marlow	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Gosport Borough - Swindon Supermarine	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWWLW
- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
09.11.24	Torquay United - Tonbridge Angels	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Tonbridge Angels - Harborough Town	1:4 ✺
English National League South
26.10.24	Truro City - Tonbridge Angels	2:1 ✺
22.10.24	Tonbridge Angels - Dorking Wanderers	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Worthing - Tonbridge Angels	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.03.14	Tonbridge Angels - Gosport Borough	0:2
21.09.13	Gosport Borough - Tonbridge Angels	2:0

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