Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 7

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday


	Braintree Town		Worthing

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.7
	3.6	3.5	1.83
	4.2	3.89	1.76
	4.15	3.94	1.73
	3.85	3.75	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (2.81)	3.77 ↑ (3.53)	1.75 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
23%

Draw
24.5%

Worthing
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

26.2%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

25.2%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Braintree Town's form might have worsened.

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Worthing's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Braintree Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Worthing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Braintree Town - Worthing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Recent matches Braintree is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Worthing is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Worthing is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Braintree won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Braintree won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
English National League South
28.08.23	Torquay United - Braintree Town	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Braintree Town - Chippenham Town	0:0 ✺
19.08.23	Dover Athletic - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
15.08.23	Braintree Town - Maidstone United	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Braintree Town - Truro City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTTLW
- Worthing FC
English National League South
28.08.23	Worthing - Weymouth	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Dover Athletic - Worthing	0:2 ✺
19.08.23	Worthing - Aveley	1:2 ✺
15.08.23	Slough Town - Worthing	1:4 ✺
12.08.23	Torquay United - Worthing	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
03.05.23	Worthing - Braintree Town	2:1
15.04.23	Worthing - Braintree Town	2:1
15.10.22	Braintree Town - Worthing	2:1

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