Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 10

Date: 4 November 2024, Monday

Location: Estádio João Cardoso (Tondela)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan
Portugal	Sport TV+


	Tondela		Oliveirense

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.1	5.75
	1.55	3.7	5
	1.57	4	5.5	Watch
	1.55	4.15	6.23
	1.57	3.95	5.74	Watch
	1.5	3.8	5.5
	1.56	4.05	5.62	Watch
	1.57	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.66)	3.97 ↑ (3.76)	5.61 ↑ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tondela
60%

Draw
23.4%

Oliveirense
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

24.6%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

23.3%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.7%	0%	4.3%

Tondela - Oliveirense Predictions

Users Predictions: Tondela will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bernardo (G) 2. Bebeto 5. Afonso J. 34. Alves R. (C) 18. Talocha 97. Cicero 8. Tavares H. 30. Ramos R. 11. Costinha 21. Maranhao 9. Miro	87. Augusto A. (G) 26. Bastos L. 3. Gabriel Noga 16. Mateus Raniel 75. Namora N. 68. Klebinho 99. Sabino 70. Ze Manuel 30. Takahashi T. 7. Candeias D. (C) 34. Schutte R.
Substitutes
23. Cascavel 6. Ceitil A. 26. Cunha N. 20. Fuller T. 60. Maviram E. 70. Moudjatovic M. 4. Pola J. 1. Souza G. (G) 7. Xavier	1. Dabo R. (G) 5. Filipe Alves 71. Lucao 9. Monteiro M. 17. Nagata K. 8. Santos A. 56. Schurrle 79. Silva J. 11. Veiga T.
Coaches
Pinto L.	Filo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Ramos R. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Talocha ⚽, Ramos R. (A),
34', Cicero 🟨,
45+6', Candeias D. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Takahashi T. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
46', Bastos L. ↓, Filipe Alves ↑,
46', Sabino ↓, Nagata K. ↑,
46', Ze Manuel ↓, Silva J. ↑,
50', Afonso J. 🟨,
60', Cicero ↓, Cunha N. ↑,
60', Ramos R. ↓, Moudjatovic M. ↑,
77', Schutte R. ↓, Monteiro M. ↑,
78', Costinha ↓, Xavier ↑,
79', Maranhao ↓, Ceitil A. ↑,
85', Talocha ↓, Maviram E. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tondela won 2.

Tondela is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Oliveirense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Tondela is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Tondela to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Tondela won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:12 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Tondela won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
26.10.24	Benfica B - Tondela	1:3 ✺
12.10.24	Tondela - Leixões	2:1 ✺
04.10.24	Torreense - Tondela	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Tondela - Académico de Viseu	4:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Os Marialvas - Tondela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWWL
- UD Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2
26.10.24	Oliveirense - Chaves	0:3 ✺
05.10.24	Oliveirense - Paços de Ferreira	0:2 ✺
29.09.24	Oliveirense - Feirense	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.24	1 Dezembro - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
15.09.24	Benfica B - Oliveirense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
04.05.24	Oliveirense - Tondela	2:1
30.12.23	Tondela - Oliveirense	1:0
Club Friendly
18.07.23	Oliveirense - Tondela	2:3
Portuguese Liga 2
01.04.23	Oliveirense - Tondela	0:0
19.10.22	Tondela - Oliveirense	1:3
Club Friendly
17.07.19	Oliveirense - Tondela	0:0
22.07.15	Tondela - Oliveirense	0:0

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