Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 12

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio João Cardoso (Tondela)

Referee: Lima F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Tondela		Paços de Ferreira

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.6
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.05	3.25	3.6
	2.11	3.26	3.9
	2.05	3.2	3.77	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.4
	2.03	3.36	3.64
	2.05	3.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.08)	3.23 ↓ (3.34)	3.6 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tondela
45.6%

Draw
28.6%

Paços de Ferreira
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

28.3%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

28%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Tondela - Paços de Ferreira Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tondela: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bernardo (G) 2. Bebeto 5. Afonso J. 34. Alves R. (C) 18. Talocha 97. Cicero 6. Ceitil A. 21. Maranhao 7. Xavier 30. Ramos R. 17. Roberto	28. Marafona (G) 21. Anilson 23. Ferigra E. 3. Diegao 5. Antunes V. (C) 7. Nogueira G. 6. Joao Caiado 11. Pavlic I. 9. Ze Uilton 19. Fonte R. 30. Costinha
Substitutes
23. Cascavel 11. Costinha 26. Cunha N. 48. Manso T. 60. Maviram E. 9. Miro 4. Pola J. 1. Souza G. (G) 8. Tavares H.	4. Cardoso G. 2. Icaro 12. Jeimes (G) 90. Lumungo R. 22. Mota 17. Paulo M. 18. Pedro R. 34. Teixeira T. 8. Welton
Coaches
Pinto L.	Silva R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Cicero ⚽, Afonso J. (A),
4', Costinha 🟨,
9', Anilson 🟨,
11', 1 - 1, Costinha ⚽, Fonte R. (A),
36', Ceitil A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Talocha 🟨,
57', Roberto 🟨,
58', Antunes V. 🟨,
59', Xavier ↓, Miro ↑,
59', Ceitil A. ↓, Cunha N. ↑,
66', Maranhao ↓, Costinha ↑,
69', Afonso J. 🟨,
72', Ferigra E. 🟨,
74', Ze Uilton ↓, Lumungo R. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Alves R. ⚽,
81', Talocha ↓, Manso T. ↑,
81', Roberto ↓, Maviram E. ↑,
84', Joao Caiado ↓, Welton ↑,
84', Costinha ↓, Paulo M. ↑,
86', Anilson ↓, Teixeira T. ↑,
90+3', Fonte R. 🟨,
90+3', Pavlic I. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tondela won 0.

Tondela in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Paços de Ferreira is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Paços de Ferreira have a series of home games.

Tondela will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Tondela won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18:25 (average 1.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Tondela won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:14 (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
09.11.24	Feirense - Tondela	1:1 ✺
04.11.24	Tondela - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Benfica B - Tondela	1:3 ✺
12.10.24	Tondela - Leixões	2:1 ✺
04.10.24	Torreense - Tondela	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TWWWW
- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2
10.11.24	Paços de Ferreira - Porto B	2:2 ✺
02.11.24	Chaves - Paços de Ferreira	2:1 ✺
25.10.24	Paços de Ferreira - Vizela	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	Paços de Ferreira - Vitoria Guimarães	1:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.10.24	Paços de Ferreira - Torreense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
05.02.24	Tondela - Paços de Ferreira	1:1
26.08.23	Paços de Ferreira - Tondela	5:1
Liga Portugal
02.05.22	Paços de Ferreira - Tondela	1:1
18.12.21	Tondela - Paços de Ferreira	0:1
18.05.21	Tondela - Paços de Ferreira	2:3
05.02.21	Paços de Ferreira - Tondela	2:1
24.06.20	Tondela - Paços de Ferreira	1:3

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