Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 14

Date: 9 November 2022, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Olimpico di Torino (Turin)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	CMore
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	Sky Sport
Japan	DAZN Japan
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Live
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Torino		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	5.75	Watch
	1.71	3.4	5.75
	1.7	3.45	5.8
	1.7	3.45	5.6
	1.73	3.57	6.02
	1.7	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.72	3.54	5.4	Watch
	1.72	3.5	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.63)	3.46 ↓ (3.83)	5.7 ↑ (5.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torino
55.8%

Draw
27.5%

Sampdoria
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

24.6%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

23.5%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torino than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	19.1%	10.3%

Torino - Sampdoria Predictions

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Torino will win (votes: 48 - 70.6%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 7 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 19.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torino: 59.8% – 81.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Torino has the most likely position - 10 (14.89%), has project points - 52, has currently - 17, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sampdoria has the most likely position - 20 (22.53%), has project points - 31, has currently - 6, has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 56, small importance 27, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Torino won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Torino is a favorite.

There will not play in Torino: Aina O. (Injury)

There will not play in Sampdoria: Winks H. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Torino: Pellegri P. (Ankle Injury) Sanabria A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sampdoria: De Luca M. (Knee Injury) Pussetto I. (Injury)

Last 22 head-to-head matches Torino won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 33-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Torino won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torino FC
Italian Serie A
06.11.22	Bologna - Torino	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Torino - Milan	2:1 ✺
23.10.22	Udinese - Torino	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
18.10.22	Torino - Cittadella	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
15.10.22	Torino - Juventus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWWL
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie A
06.11.22	Sampdoria - Fiorentina	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Inter Milan - Sampdoria	3:0 ✺
24.10.22	Cremonese - Sampdoria	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
20.10.22	Sampdoria - Ascoli	3:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
17.10.22	Sampdoria - Roma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
15.01.22	Sampdoria - Torino	1:2
Coppa Italia
16.12.21	Sampdoria - Torino	2:1
Italian Serie A
30.10.21	Torino - Sampdoria	3:0
21.03.21	Sampdoria - Torino	1:0
30.11.20	Torino - Sampdoria	2:2
08.02.20	Torino - Sampdoria	1:3
22.09.19	Sampdoria - Torino	1:0

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