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Current Win Probability
Sampdoria 18.7%
Draw 25%
Roma 56.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19%
25.1%
56%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.2%
24.1%
58.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.4%
9.4%
80.2%
Sampdoria - Roma Predictions
Users Predictions:
Roma will win
(154 of 192 users predict this - 80.21%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.57% – 85.85%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).
Sampdoria has the most likely position - 20 (22.16%), has project points - 32, has currently - 3, has a chance of relegated (50%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Roma has the most likely position - 4 (14.43%), has project points - 69, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (46%), has a small chance of win league (7%).
This event has quality61, importance53, match rating57. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 1.
Sampdoria has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Roma is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Roma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Roma is a favorite.
There will not play in Sampdoria: Murillo J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Roma: Celik Z.
(Knee Injury)
Darboe E.
(Knee Injury)
Dybala P.
(Muscle Injury)
Wijnaldum G.
(Broken shinbone)
There are questionable in Sampdoria: De Luca M.
(Knee Injury)
Winks H.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Roma: Karsdorp R.
(Knee Injury)
Kumbulla M.
(Injury)
Last 23 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 21-31.
Including matches at home between the teams Sampdoria won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-9.
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