Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 29

Date: 11 March 2024, Monday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)


	Sampdoria		Ascoli

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	4.2	Watch
	1.93	3.1	4.4
	1.95	3.1	4.33	Watch
	1.96	3.15	5.01
	1.95	3.15	5.02
	2.15	3.25	3.25
	1.95	3.13	4.6	Watch
	1.96	3.1	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.18)	3.14 ↓ (3.23)	4.38 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
48%

Draw
30.3%

Ascoli
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

28.9%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

27.5%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sampdoria's performance.

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ascoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ascoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	20%	6.7%

Sampdoria - Ascoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Ascoli will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampdoria: 57.5% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stankovic F. (G) 46. Leoni G. 87. Ghilardi D. 33. Gonzalez F. 28. Yepes G. 40. Stojanovic P. 14. Kasami P. 55. Darboe E. 3. Barreca A. 19. Alvarez A. 9. De Luca M.	32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G) 14. Quaranta D. 55. Bellusci G. 3. Mantovani V. 23. Falzerano M. 41. Valzania L. 10. Caligara F. 8. Giovane S. 7. Zedadka K. 29. Duris D. 99. Rodriguez P.
Substitutes
45. Alesi G. 5. Askildsen K. 16. Borini F. 39. Conti F. 23. Depaoli F. 7. Esposito Se. 21. Giordano S. 32. Girelli S. 15. Lotjonen A. 43. Lukisa S. 47. Pozzato S. 22. Ravaglia N. (G)	40. Bayeye B. J. 12. Bolletta L. (G) 13. Celia R. 15. D'Uffizi S. 94. Maiga Silvestri Y. 20. Milanese T. 30. Nestorovski I. 11. Streng J. 19. Tarantino J. 44. Tavcar A. 16. Vaisanen S.
Coaches
Pirlo A.	Castori F.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Sampdoria is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampdoria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
03.03.24	FeralpiSalò - Sampdoria	1:3 ✺
27.02.24	Sampdoria - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
23.02.24	Nuova Cosenza - Sampdoria	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Sampdoria - Brescia	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Pisa - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWTL
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
03.03.24	Ascoli - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
27.02.24	Ascoli - Brescia	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	FeralpiSalò - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
16.02.24	Ascoli - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Catanzaro - Ascoli	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
07.10.23	Ascoli - Sampdoria	1:1
Coppa Italia
20.10.22	Sampdoria - Ascoli	3:2 penalties
Italian Serie B
17.03.12	Sampdoria - Ascoli	0:0

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