Match Info

Serie A - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bologna		Torino

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	4.20
	1.98	3.20	4.10
	1.97	3.10	4.20	Watch
	2.01	3.35	4.45
	1.96	3.43	4.09	Watch
	1.97	3.25	4.40
	1.98	3.30	4.27
	1.95	3.40	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.92)	3.29 ↓ (3.5)	4.25 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
48.5%

Draw
29.1%

Torino
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

27.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Torino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torino than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.1%	22.2%	3.7%

Bologna - Torino Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Torino will win (votes: 1 - 3.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 57.6% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Skorupski L. (G) 5. Fauske Helland E. 14. Heggem T. 3. Theate A. 20. Zortea N. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 4. Pobega T. 33. Miranda J. 10. Bernardeschi F. 91. Piccoli R. 28. Cambiaghi N.	20. Lucas Perri (G) 5. Comert E. 44. Ismajli A. 23. Coco S. 29. Fortini N. 21. Braganca D. 8. Mandragora R. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 77. Cacciamani A. 18. Simeone G. 10. Vlasic N. (C)
Substitutes
23. Alhassane R. 8. Amondarain M. 16. Casale N. 29. De Silvestri L. 17. El Azzouzi O. 22. Enem J. 72. Happonen U. (G) 2. Holm E. 18. Libra M. 11. Mbangula S. 6. Moro N. 21. Odgaard J. 7. Orsolini R. 25. Pessina M. (G) 41. Vitik M.	7. Aboukhlal Z. 45. Belghali R. 3. Biraghi C. 15. Comuzzo P. 66. Gineitis G. 6. Ilkhan E. 17. Kulenovic S. 26. Mascardi D. (G) 11. Oristanio G. 2. Patterson N. 13. Rodriguez R. 76. Siviero L. (G) 91. Zapata D.
Coaches
Palladino R.	Abate I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Bernardeschi F. ⚽,
30', Braganca D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fortini N. ↓, Patterson N. ↑,
55', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, Kulenovic S. ↑,
58', Cambiaghi N. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
58', Fauske Helland E. ↓, De Silvestri L. ↑,
68', Comert E. ↓, Belghali R. ↑,
68', Vlasic N. ↓, Oristanio G. ↑,
68', Braganca D. ↓, Ilkhan E. ↑,
74', Belghali R. 🟨,
76', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Orsolini R. ↑,
77', Pobega T. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Kulenovic S. ⚽, Mandragora R. (A),
78', Patterson N. 🟨,
84', Zortea N. ↓, Holm E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 3.

Bologna is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Torino has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, Bologna is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Bologna: Dovbyk A. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Torino: Adams C. (Muscle Injury) Israel F. (Shoulder Injury) Pellegri P. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Torino: Casadei C. (Rest).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bologna has recorded 7 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:24 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bologna against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 6 draws, and 0 losses, with 14:8 goals (averaging 1.4:0.8 per game).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Bologna: 0.25% Torino: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5:8	-3	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2

Last Results with these Odds

Bologna - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 49.25%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
13.09.26	Napoli - Bologna	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Bologna - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
31.08.26	Atalanta - Bologna	1:0 ✺
24.08.26	Bologna - Lazio	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Bologna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Torino FC
Italian Serie A
14.09.26	Torino - Roma	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Fiorentina - Torino	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
01.09.26	Torino - Monza	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.08.26	Sassuolo - Torino	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Torino - Milan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
15.02.26	Torino - Bologna	1:2
29.10.25	Bologna - Torino	0:0
14.02.25	Bologna - Torino	3:2
21.12.24	Torino - Bologna	0:2
03.05.24	Torino - Bologna	0:0
27.11.23	Bologna - Torino	2:0
06.03.23	Torino - Bologna	1:0

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