The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sampdoria 22.8%
Draw 27.3%
Fiorentina 49.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24%
27.2%
48.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.9%
27.3%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.6%
27.9%
60.5%
Sampdoria - Fiorentina Predictions
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 5 - 11.6%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 26 - 60.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 27.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 45.9% โ 75.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 14).
Sampdoria has the most likely position - 20 (19%), has project points - 33, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (47%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Fiorentina has the most likely position - 9 (13.95%), has project points - 54, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality59, small importance29, match rating44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 3.
Recent matches Sampdoria is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fiorentina is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Sampdoria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Fiorentina is a favorite.
Last 21 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 32-38.
Including matches at home between the teams Sampdoria won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-17.