Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 18

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Olimpico di Torino (Turin)

Referee: Ghersini D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Sweden	CMore Live
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Torino		Spezia

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5	Watch
	1.72	3.6	5
	1.73	3.6	5.1
	1.71	3.6	5
	1.77	3.69	5.33
	1.75	3.5	5
	1.77	3.64	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.65	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.64)	3.6 ↓ (3.8)	5.05 ↓ (5.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torino
54.7%

Draw
26.4%

Spezia
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

24.7%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.8%	9.6%	11.5%

Torino - Spezia Predictions

Users Predictions: Torino will win (41 of 52 users predict this - 78.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.75% – 89.95%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 17).

Torino has the most likely position - 10 (14.98%), has project points - 52, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Spezia has the most likely position - 18 (15.7%), has project points - 35, has currently - 15, has a chance of relegated (38%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 55, small importance 27, match rating 41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Torino is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Spezia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Spezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Spezia have a series of home games.

In this match Torino is a favorite.

There will not play in Torino: Aina O. (Muscle Injury) Ilkhan E. (Ankle Injury) Pellegri P. (Injury)

There will not play in Spezia: Zoet J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Torino: Lazaro V. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Torino won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Torino won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torino FC
Coppa Italia
11.01.23	Milan - Torino	0:1 ET ✺
Italian Serie A
08.01.23	Salernitana - Torino	1:1 ✺
04.01.23	Torino - Verona	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.12.22	Monza - Torino	1:4 ✺
23.12.22	Torino - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTTWT
- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie A
08.01.23	Spezia - Lecce	0:0 ✺
04.01.23	Spezia - Atalanta	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.12.22	Spezia - Groningen	2:0 ✺
17.12.22	Spezia - Sparta Rotterdam	1:3 ✺
14.12.22	Spezia - Servette	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
23.04.22	Torino - Spezia	2:1
06.11.21	Spezia - Torino	1:0
15.05.21	Spezia - Torino	4:1
16.01.21	Torino - Spezia	0:0

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