Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Toronto FC		CF Montréal

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.9	3.6	Watch
	1.93	3.80	3.40
	1.95	3.6	3.7
	1.97	3.88	3.63
	1.95	4.01	3.37	Watch
	1.89	3.8	3.5
	1.97	3.9	3.74	Watch
	1.93	3.8	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.01)	3.84 ↓ (3.93)	3.54 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toronto FC
48.7%

Draw
24.6%

CF Montréal
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

24.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

23.8%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Toronto FC - CF Montréal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 13th and 15th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.

Toronto is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Montreal have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Montreal has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Toronto holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Toronto has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:32 (averaging 1.8:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Toronto against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 19:16 goals (averaging 2.1:1.8 per game).

Outrights of MLS for now

Toronto FC: 0.69% CF Montreal: 0.53%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toronto FC
MLS
26.09.26	Nashville SC - Toronto FC	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	St. Louis City - Toronto FC	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Orlando City - Toronto FC	3:0 ✺
09.09.26	Toronto FC - Nashville SC	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Toronto FC - Chicago Fire	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWT
- CF Montréal
MLS
26.09.26	CF Montréal - Cincinnati	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	CF Montréal - Columbus Crew	0:2 ✺
Canadian Championship
16.09.26	CF Montréal - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:1 ✺
MLS
12.09.26	Colorado Rapids - CF Montréal	1:0 ✺
09.09.26	CF Montréal - Charlotte	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
16.07.26	CF Montréal - Toronto FC	0:0
30.08.25	Toronto FC - CF Montréal	1:1
17.05.25	CF Montréal - Toronto FC	1:6
Canadian Championship
30.04.25	Toronto FC - CF Montréal	2:3 penalties
MLS
20.07.24	CF Montréal - Toronto FC	0:1
18.05.24	Toronto FC - CF Montréal	5:1
20.08.23	Toronto FC - CF Montréal	2:3

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