Match Info

MLS

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: BMO Field (Toronto, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass, SportsEngine Play
World	Apple TV International


	Toronto FC		Nashville SC

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	2.01	Watch
	3.40	3.50	2.05
	3.55	3.45	2.02
	3.52	3.73	2.09
	3.15	3.75	2.14	Watch
	3.45	3.65	2.03
	3.53	3.68	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (2.74)	3.61 ↓ (3.81)	2.07 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Toronto FC
27.8%

Draw
26.3%

Nashville SC
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

24.8%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

24.3%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC's form might have worsened.

Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nashville SC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	40%	53.3%

Toronto FC - Nashville SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Nashville will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nashville: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gavran L. (G) 22. Laryea R. (C) 25. Zimmerman W. 13. Kuscevic B. 38. Gilman J. 90. Morgan L. 6. Dorsch N. 14. Coello A. 20. Salloi D. 9. Sargent J. 11. Etienne D.	99. Schwake B. (G) 27. Baker-Whiting R. 5. Maher J. 3. Woledzi M. 2. Lovitz D. 16. Corcoran M. 20. Tagseth E. 11. Saad E. 7. Espinoza C. 9. Surridge S. 10. Mukhtar H. (C)
Substitutes
17. Aristizabal E. 71. Cimermancic M. 7. Corbeanu T. 44. Edwards R. 19. Franklin K. 15. Gomis N. 3. Matheus Pereira 12. Monlouis Z. 23. Yarbrough W. (G)	6. Acosta B. 22. Bauer J. 14. Mohammed S. 19. Muyl A. 31. Najar A. 4. Palacios J. 37. Qasem A. 1. Willis J. (G) 8. Yazbek P.
Coaches
Fraser R.	Callaghan B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Dorsch N. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Kuscevic B. ↓, Gomis N. ↑,
59', Morgan L. ↓, Corbeanu T. ↑,
59', Gilman J. ↓, Matheus Pereira ↑,
66', Saad E. ↓, Qasem A. ↑,
70', Dorsch N. ↓, Cimermancic M. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Salloi D. ⚽, Corbeanu T. (A),
74', Tagseth E. ↓, Yazbek P. ↑,
74', Lovitz D. ↓, Najar A. ↑,
75', Sargent J. ↓, Aristizabal E. ↑,
87', Espinoza C. ↓, Mohammed S. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Aristizabal E. ⚽, Salloi D. (A),
90+8', Gavran L. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.

Toronto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nashville is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.

Nashville is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Toronto: Dorsch N. (Face Injury) Osorio J. (Knee Injury) Palacio N. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Nashville: Madrigal W. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Toronto: Dixon D. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Nashville SC - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.72%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toronto FC
MLS
05.09.26	Toronto FC - Chicago Fire	4:4 ✺
29.08.26	Toronto FC - New York City	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Inter Miami - Toronto FC	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Toronto FC - Charlotte	3:3 ✺
15.08.26	Toronto FC - New England Revolution	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TTWTW
- Nashville SC
MLS
04.09.26	New York City - Nashville SC	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Nashville SC - Cincinnati	4:0 ✺
22.08.26	Nashville SC - Columbus Crew	3:2 ✺
19.08.26	New York Red Bulls - Nashville SC	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Nashville SC - Inter Miami	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
19.07.25	Nashville SC - Toronto FC	1:0
24.05.25	Toronto FC - Nashville SC	1:2
19.06.24	Toronto FC - Nashville SC	1:2
15.05.24	Nashville SC - Toronto FC	2:0
10.06.23	Toronto FC - Nashville SC	1:1
08.04.23	Nashville SC - Toronto FC	0:0
06.08.22	Nashville SC - Toronto FC	3:4

Upcoming Matches