Match Info

MLS

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: BMO Field (Toronto, ON)

Referee: Montero R. (Cos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Toronto FC		Colorado Rapids

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.75	3.6	Watch
	2.02	3.55	3.55	Watch
	2.02	3.74	3.68
	2.09	3.7	3.3	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.4
	2.03	3.8	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (2)	3.67 ↑ (3.61)	3.53 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toronto FC
47.2%

Draw
25.9%

Colorado Rapids
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

26%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

26.2%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Colorado Rapids has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Toronto FC aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Colorado Rapids aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Toronto FC - Colorado Rapids Predictions

Users Predictions: Toronto FC will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gavran L. (G) 22. Laryea R. 13. Kuscevic B. 25. Zimmerman W. 44. Edwards R. 8. Cifuentes J. 14. Coello A. 21. Osorio J. (C) 20. Salloi D. 9. Sargent J. 29. Kerr D.	1. Steffen Z. (C) 29. Navarro M. 6. Holding R. 22. Herrington L. 99. Travis J. 8. Ojediran H. 12. Atencio J. 7. Sealy D. 10. Aaronson P. 13. Frederick W. 9. Rafael Navarro
Substitutes
17. Aristizabal E. 71. Cimermancic M. 11. Etienne D. 19. Franklin K. 78. Henry M. 3. Matheus Pereira 12. Monlouis Z. 99. Vilsaint J. 23. Yarbrough W. (G)	24. Cobb N. 26. Diop M. 41. Hansen N. (G) 16. Harris A. 11. Manyoma A. 19. Murphy I. 2. Rosenberry K. 27. Stewart-Baynes K. 77. Yapi D.
Coaches
Fraser R.	Wells M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Travis J. 🟥,
36', Sealy D. ↓, Rosenberry K. ↑,
38', Wells M. 🟨,
41', Zimmerman W. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
49', Edwards R. 🟥,
51', 0 - 1, Aaronson P. ⚽,
52', Kerr D. ↓, Matheus Pereira ↑,
54', 0 - 2, Rosenberry K. ⚽,
56', Zimmerman W. ↓, Monlouis Z. ↑,
64', Navarro M. 🟨,
65', 1 - 2, Laryea R. ⚽, Sargent J. (A),
69', Monlouis Z. 🟨,
73', Atencio J. 🟨,
74', Atencio J. ↓, Manyoma A. ↑,
74', Navarro M. 🟨,
77', 2 - 2, Steffen Z. (Own goal),
84', Manyoma A. ↓, Murphy I. ↑,
84', Aaronson P. ↓, Cobb N. ↑,
84', Rafael Navarro ↓, Yapi D. ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Sargent J. ⚽, Coello A. (A),
86', Laryea R. 🟨,
89', Cobb N. 🟨,
90', Sargent J. ↓, Aristizabal E. ↑,
90+2', Ojediran H. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Toronto might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Toronto: Corbeanu T. (Knee Injury) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Matheus Pereira (Groin Injury) Wingo H. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Colorado: Cannon R. (Ankle Injury) Ronan C. (Leg Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Outrights of MLS for now

Colorado Rapids: 1.68% Toronto FC: 0.69%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toronto FC
MLS
21.03.26	Toronto FC - Columbus Crew	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Cincinnati - Toronto FC	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Toronto FC	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	FC Dallas - Toronto FC	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTWLL
- Colorado Rapids
MLS
21.03.26	Sporting Kansas City - Colorado Rapids	1:4 ✺
14.03.26	New York City - Colorado Rapids	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Colorado Rapids - Los Angeles Galaxy	4:1 ✺
28.02.26	Colorado Rapids - Portland Timbers	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Seattle Sounders - Colorado Rapids	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
21.09.24	Colorado Rapids - Toronto FC	2:0
25.09.21	Colorado Rapids - Toronto FC	0:0
Club Friendly
22.02.20	Colorado Rapids - Toronto FC	1:1
MLS
15.09.19	Toronto FC - Colorado Rapids	3:2
14.04.18	Colorado Rapids - Toronto FC	2:0
CONCACAF Champions Cup
27.02.18	Toronto FC - Colorado Rapids	0:0
20.02.18	Colorado Rapids - Toronto FC	0:2

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