Match Info

MLS

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: BMO Field (Toronto, ON)

Referee: Badawi M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass


	Toronto FC		Minnesota United

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.35	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.4
	2.9	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.89	3.47	2.41	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.4
	2.8	3.72	2.36	Watch
	2.9	3.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.73)	3.5 ↓ (3.74)	2.4 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toronto FC
33.3%

Draw
27.2%

Minnesota United
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

25.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

26%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Toronto FC - Minnesota United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Minnesota (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johnson S. (G) 28. Petretta R. 5. Long K. 17. Rosted S. 6. Thompson K. 21. Osorio J. (C) 24. Insigne L. 20. Flores D. 7. Corbeanu T. 10. Bernardeschi F. 11. Etienne D.	97. St.Clair D. (G) 21. Hlongwane B. 15. Boxall M. 5. Romero N. 28. Diaz J. 8. Rosales J. 26. Pereyra J. 20. Trapp W. 17. Lod R. 9. Yeboah K. 14. Oluwaseyi T.
Substitutes
71. Cimermancic M. 14. Coello A. 23. Dominguez M. 19. Franklin K. 90. Gavran L. (G) 8. Longstaff M. 38. Sharp C. 16. Spicer T. 76. Stefanovic L.	23. Duggan M. 67. Harvey C. 7. Jeong S. 22. Jung Ho-yeon 13. Markanich A. 90. Mesanvi L. 19. Shashoua S. 1. Smir A. (G) 27. Taylor D.
Coaches
Fraser R.	Ramsay E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Hlongwane B. 🟨,
32', Insigne L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Hlongwane B. ↓, Taylor D. ↑,
70', Trapp W. ↓, Shashoua S. ↑,
72', Etienne D. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
80', Corbeanu T. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
80', Insigne L. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
84', Diaz J. 🟨,
87', Rosales J. ↓, Markanich A. ↑,
87', Yeboah K. ↓, Jeong S. ↑,
87', Diaz J. ↓, Harvey C. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Toronto is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Minnesota is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Toronto: Kerr D. (Inactive) Laryea R. (Hamstring Injury) Monlouis Z. (Inactive) Spicer T. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Inactive)

There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Gene O. (Inactive)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Toronto won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:10 (average 2.8:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Toronto won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:5 (average 3.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toronto FC
MLS
06.04.25	Inter Miami - Toronto FC	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Toronto FC - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Toronto FC - Chicago Fire	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Cincinnati - Toronto FC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTLLL
- Minnesota United
MLS
06.04.25	New York City - Minnesota United	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Minnesota United - Real Salt Lake	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Minnesota United - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Sporting Kansas City - Minnesota United	3:3 ✺
08.03.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
03.06.23	Minnesota United - Toronto FC	1:1
19.04.19	Toronto FC - Minnesota United	4:3
04.07.18	Minnesota United - Toronto FC	4:3
13.05.17	Toronto FC - Minnesota United	3:2

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