Match Info

MLS

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Yankee Stadium (New York, NY)

Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass


	New York City		Minnesota United

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.6	2.75	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3
	2.5	3.6	2.8	Watch
	2.45	3.52	2.79	Watch
	2.2	3.6	3
	2.41	3.8	2.68	Watch
	2.5	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.22)	3.6 ↓ (3.75)	2.83 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York City
40.1%

Draw
26.4%

Minnesota United
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

25.6%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

25.5%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	9.1%	27.3%

New York City - Minnesota United Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Minnesota will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. NY City (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Minnesota (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Minnesota (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. NY City (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Minnesota (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Freese M. (G) 35. Ilenic M. 5. Risa B. 13. Thiago Martins (C) 22. O'Toole K. 55. Parks K. 80. Haak J. 10. Moralez M. 11. Fernandez J. 16. Martinez A. 17. Wolf H.	97. St.Clair D. (G) 21. Hlongwane B. 15. Boxall M. 5. Romero N. 28. Diaz J. 8. Rosales J. 26. Pereyra J. 20. Trapp W. 17. Lod R. 9. Yeboah K. 14. Oluwaseyi T.
Substitutes
38. Baiera A. 9. Bakrar M. 29. Carrizo M. 24. Gray T. 26. Ojeda A. 18. Ranjitsingh G. (G) 30. Romero T. (G) 32. Shore J. 19. Tanasijevic S.	23. Duggan M. 67. Harvey C. 7. Jeong S. 22. Jung Ho-yeon 13. Markanich A. 90. Mesanvi L. 2. Padelford D. 19. Shashoua S. 1. Smir A. (G)
Coaches
Jansen P.	Ramsay E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Oluwaseyi T. ⚽, Pereyra J. (A), Yeboah K. (A2)
29', 0 - 2, Trapp W. ⚽, Pereyra J. (A),
36', Risa B. 🟨,
40', Fernandez J. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
40', Risa B. ↓, Tanasijevic S. ↑,
43', Boxall M. 🟨,
45+8', Martinez A. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Ilenic M. ↓, Ojeda A. ↑,
66', Haak J. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
73', Lod R. ↓, Harvey C. ↑,
82', St.Clair D. 🟨,
89', 1 - 2, Parks K. ⚽,
90+1', Rosales J. ↓, Markanich A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches NY City won 1.

Recent matches NY City is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Minnesota is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

NY City will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in NY City: Arroyave J. (Knee Injury) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Perea A. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H. (Knee Injury) Keller K. (Thigh Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches NY City won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams NY City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York City FC
MLS
29.03.25	Atlanta United - New York City	4:3 ✺
22.03.25	Columbus Crew - New York City	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	New York City - New England Revolution	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	New York City - Orlando City	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Los Angeles - New York City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWWL
- Minnesota United
MLS
29.03.25	Minnesota United - Real Salt Lake	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Minnesota United - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Sporting Kansas City - Minnesota United	3:3 ✺
08.03.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Minnesota United	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Minnesota United - CF Montréal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
20.08.23	New York City - Minnesota United	0:2
Club Friendly
18.01.23	New York City - Minnesota United	0:1
MLS
28.05.22	Minnesota United - New York City	0:1
13.04.19	Minnesota United - New York City	3:3
Club Friendly
20.02.19	New York City - Minnesota United	0:1
MLS
29.09.18	Minnesota United - New York City	2:1
29.06.17	New York City - Minnesota United	3:1

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